Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 11/08/25
Monday 11 August
Tuesday 12 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 | |
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) |
|
2.7% | +1.8% | |
| 05:30 | |
RBA Cash Rate |
|
3.85% | 3.60% | 3.60% |
| 07:00 | |
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 07:00 | |
Claimant Count Unemployment Change |
|
25.9k | -6.2k | |
| 07:00 | |
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year |
|
5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% |
| 07:00 | |
Unemployment Rate (ILO) |
|
4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% |
| 07:00 | |
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.6% | ||
| 10:00 | |
ZEW Economic sentiment |
|
52.7 | 39.8 | 34.7 |
| 10:00 | |
ZEW Current Conditions |
|
-59.5 | -65.0 | -68.6 |
| 13:30 | |
CPI Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 13:30 | |
CPI Year on Year (nsa) |
|
2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% |
Wednesday 13 August
Thursday 14 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 | |
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.3% | 4.2% | +4.2% |
| 07:00 | |
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
-0.3% | -0.3% | 0.2% |
| 07:00 | |
Trade Balance Non-EU |
|
-9.318Bln GB | -10.783Bln GB | |
| 07:00 | |
Manufacturing Output Year on Year |
|
0.3% | -0.9% | 0.0% |
| 07:00 | |
Trade Balance |
|
-21.688Bln GB | -19.400Bln GB | -22.156Bln GB |
| 07:00 | |
Manufacturing Output Month on Month |
|
-1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| 07:00 | |
GDP Prelim Year on Year | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 07:00 | |
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-0.9% | 0.2% | 0.7% |
| 07:00 | |
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.6% | ||
| 07:00 | |
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 07:00 | |
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 07:45 | |
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 07:45 | |
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| 10:00 | |
GDP Flash estimate Year on Year | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 10:00 | |
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
3.7% | 1.7% | +0.2% |
| 10:00 | |
Industrial Production Month on Month | 1.7% | -1.0% | -1.3% | |
| 10:00 | |
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 13:30 | |
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
226k | 228k | 224k |
| 13:30 | |
PPI Core Year on Year |
|
2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% |
| 13:30 | |
PPI Final Demand Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% |
| 13:30 | |
PPI excl Food and Energy MM |
|
0.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Friday 15 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 | |
GDP Quarter on Quarter | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 03:00 | |
Retail Sales |
|
4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| 05:30 | |
Industrial Production Revised |
|
1.7% | 2.1% | |
| 07:00 | |
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.6% | ||
| 07:00 | |
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 13:30 | |
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 | |
Retail Sales Month on Month | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 14:15 | |
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.0% | -0.1% |
| 15:00 | |
Business Inventories Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
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