Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 12/04/21

Monday 12 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -5.9% 1.5% 3.0%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -6.4% -5.4% -2.9%

Tuesday 13 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Chart 9.5% 20.3%
Manufacturing Output Month on Month Manufacturing Output Month on Month Chart -2.3% 0.5% 1.3%
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart -4.9% -4.5% -3.5%
Manufacturing Output Year on Year Manufacturing Output Year on Year Chart -5.2% -5.2% -4.2%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart -1.5% 0.5% 1.0%
Trade Balance Non-EU Trade Balance Non-EU Chart -1.756Bln GB -3.500Bln GB -10.728Bln GB
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -9.826Bln GB -10.500Bln GB -16.442Bln GB
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Chart 1.0% 0.3% 0.2%
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Chart -2.4% -0.6%
Manufacturing Output Year on Year Manufacturing Output Year on Year Chart -5.2% -5.1%
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart -4.9% -4.5%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -9.826Bln GB -10.400Bln GB
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart -1.5% 0.5%
Trade Balance Non-EU Trade Balance Non-EU Chart -1.756Bln GB -4.050Bln GB
Manufacturing Output Month on Month Manufacturing Output Month on Month Chart -2.3% 0.5%
ZEW Current Conditions ZEW Current Conditions Chart -61.0 -53.0 -48.8
ZEW Economic sentiment ZEW Economic sentiment Chart 76.6 79.0 70.7
CPI Year on Year (nsa) CPI Year on Year (nsa) Chart 1.7% 2.5% 2.6%
CPI Month on Month (sa) CPI Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.4% 0.5% 0.6%

Wednesday 14 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Sentiment Consumer Sentiment Chart 2.6% +6.2%
RBNZ Rate Decision RBNZ Rate Decision Chart 0.25% 0.25% 0.25%
Industrial Production Month on Month   0.8% -1.1% -1.0%
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart 0.1% -0.9% -1.6%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   -3.522Mln -2.889Mln -5.889Mln

Thursday 15 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 5.8% 5.7% +5.6%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 1.7% 1.7% 1.7%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 1.4% 1.4% 1.4%
CPI Final Year on Year   0.6% 0.6% 0.6%
CPI Final Month on Month   1.8% 1.8% 1.8%
Philadelphia Fed Business Index Philadelphia Fed Business Index Chart 51.8 42.0 50.2
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 744k 625k 576k
Retail Sales Month on Month   -3.0% 5.9% 9.8%
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month   -2.7% 5.0% 8.4%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart -2.2% 2.8% 1.4%
Business Inventories Month on Month Business Inventories Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.5% 0.5%

Friday 16 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
China GDP Year on Year China GDP Year on Year Chart 6.5% 19.0% +18.3%
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 33.8% 28.0% 34.2%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -0.188Bln EU +0.605Bln EU
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.9% 0.9%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 6.3Bln EU 17.7Bln EU
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 1.3% 1.3% 1.3%
Housing Starts Housing Starts Chart 1.421Mln 1.617Mln 1.739Mln

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