Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 12/08/13


Monday 12 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GDP Quarter on Quarter   1.0% 0.9% +0.6%
Industrial Production Revised Industrial Production Revised Chart -3.3% -3.1%

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Spirit AeroSystems, Inc, Sysco Corp
Flag of Great Britain
Assura Group, Concurrent Tech, Delcam, H&T Group, Noricum Gold, Prudential, Sareum, SVG Capital, Synairgen, Triad Group

Tuesday 13 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 1.9% 1.9% 1.9%
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) Chart 1.0% 1.2% +1.1%
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) Chart 0.0% 0.1% +0.1%
RPI Year on Year RPI Year on Year Chart 3.3% 3.1% 3.1%
RPI Month on Month RPI Month on Month Chart -0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 2.9% 2.8% 2.8%
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart -0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart -1.3% 0.2% 0.3%
ZEW Current Conditions ZEW Current Conditions Chart 10.6 12.0 18.3
Industrial Production Month on Month   -0.3% 0.8% 0.7%
ZEW Economic sentiment ZEW Economic sentiment Chart 36.3 40.0 42.0
Retail Sales Month on Month   0.4% 0.3% +0.2%
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month   0.0% 0.4% +0.5%
Business Inventories Month on Month Business Inventories Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Enquest, Mears Group, Michael Page International, Tribal Group, Vectura Group
Flag of the USA
Millennial Media Inc, Planet Payment

Wednesday 14 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Sentiment Consumer Sentiment Chart -0.1% +3.5%
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter Chart -0.20% 0.2% 0.5%
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.1% 0.6% 0.7%
GDP Flash Estimate Year on Year GDP Flash Estimate Year on Year Chart -1.4% 0.3% 0.9%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 1.0% 1.1% 1.2%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 0.2% -0.4% -0.3%
Unemployment Rate (ILO) Unemployment Rate (ILO) Chart 7.8% 7.8% 7.8%
Claimant Count Unemployment Change Claimant Count Unemployment Change Chart -21.2k -15.0k -29.2k
MPC Vote For Rate Cut   0 0 0
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged   9 9 9
MPC Vote For Rate Hike   0 0 0
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Chart 1.7% 2.0% 2.1%
ZEW Investor Sentiment   4.8 7.2
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter Chart -0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
GDP Flash estimate Year on Year   -1.1% -0.8% -0.7%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
PPI Core Month on Month PPI Core Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.2% +0.1%
PPI Core Year on Year PPI Core Year on Year Chart 1.7% 1.4% +1.2%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Balfour Beatty, Capital & Regional, Carpetright, CLS Holdings, Eckoh Tech, Eurasian Natural Resources Corp, Gresham Computing, Interserve, JPMorgan Asian Investment Trust, JPMorgan European Invest TST, Lookers, Rentokil Initial
Flag of the USA
Agilent, Macy's, The Progressive

Thursday 15 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.6% +1.1%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 2.2% 2.5% +3.0%
CPI Month on Month (sa) CPI Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.5% 0.2% +0.2%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 333k 335k 320k
CPI Year on Year (nsa) CPI Year on Year (nsa) Chart 1.8% 2.0% +2.0%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.3% 0%
Philadelphia Fed Business Index Philadelphia Fed Business Index Chart 19.8 15.0 9.3

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Cineworld Group, Derwent London, F&C Global Smaller Companies, Gem Diamonds, Imperial Tobacco Group, Innovation Group, Latchways, Micro Focus International, NB Global Floating Rate Income, Ophir Energy, PV Crystalox Solar, Signet Jewelers, SkyePharma, Trifast (UK)
Flag of the USA
Bally Technologies, First Marblehead, Kohls Corp, Nordstrom Inc

Friday 16 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 0.1% -0.5% -0.5%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 15.2bln EU 17.3bln EU
Housing Starts Housing Starts Chart 0.836mln 0.900mln 0.896mln
Univ Michigan Conditions Univ Michigan Conditions Chart 98.6 98.0 91.0
Univ Michigan Sentiment Univ Michigan Sentiment Chart 85.1 85.5 80.0
Univ Michigan Expectation Univ Michigan Expectation Chart 76.5 76.0 72.9

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Granite Point Mortgage Trust, Avon Rubber, Daejan Hldgs, Local Shopping Reit (The), RIT Capital Partners, Severfield-Rowen, Surgical Innovations, Warner Estate Hldgs

MARKET ANALYSIS

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