Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 12/01/26
Monday 12 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
0.6% | ||
| 09:00 | 
|
Trade Balance |
|
-1.310Bln EU | ||
| 22:00 | 
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
1.9% | ||
| 23:30 | 
|
Consumer Sentiment |
|
-9.0% | -1.7% |
Tuesday 13 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) |
|
1.2% | +1.0% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
0.6% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-1.310Bln EU | ||
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year (nsa) |
|
2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | +0.3% |
| 15:00 |
|
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month |
|
0.738Mln | 0.720Mln | 0.737Mln |
| 22:00 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
1.9% |
Wednesday 14 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
0.6% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-1.310Bln EU | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Current Account Balance |
|
-251.3Bln US | -238.4Bln US | -226.4Bln US |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI excl Food and Energy MM |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI Final Demand Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year |
|
2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Existing Home Sales |
|
4.13Mln | 4.21Mln | 4.35Mln |
| 15:00 |
|
Business Inventories Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | +0.3% |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -3.832Mln | -1.702Mln | 3.391Mln | |
| 22:00 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
1.9% |
Thursday 15 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance Non-EU |
|
-10.255Bln GB | -11.457Bln GB | |
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Year on Year |
|
-0.8% | -0.3% | 2.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
0.6% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
-0.8% | -0.4% | 2.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
1.1% | 0.1% | 1.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-22.542Bln GB | -20.400Bln GB | -23.711Bln GB |
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Month on Month |
|
0.5% | 0.5% | 2.1% |
| 07:45 | 
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| 07:45 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 09:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) |
|
-0.3% | -0.6% | 1.4% |
| 09:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-1.310Bln EU | -1.959Bln EU | |
| 09:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) |
|
-1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% |
| 10:00 | 
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% |
| 10:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
18.4Bln EU | 9.9Bln EU | |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 13:15 | 
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
254.1k | 260.0k | |
| 13:30 |
|
Philadelphia Fed Business Index |
|
-10.2 | -1.0 | 12.6 |
| 22:00 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
1.9% |
Friday 16 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
0.6% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.4% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 09:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 13:15 |
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
254.1k | 260.0k | 282.4k |
| 14:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| 22:00 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
1.9% |
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