Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 13/12/21

Tuesday 14 December

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Revised Industrial Production Revised Chart 1.1% 1.8%
Claimant Count Unemployment Change Claimant Count Unemployment Change Chart -14.9k -49.8k
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Chart 5.8% 4.6% 4.9%
Unemployment Rate (ILO) Unemployment Rate (ILO) Chart 4.3% 4.2% 4.2%
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart 5.2% 3.2% +3.3%
Industrial Production Month on Month   -0.2% 1.2% +1.1%
PPI excl Food and Energy MM PPI excl Food and Energy MM Chart 0.4% 0.4% +0.7%
PPI Final Demand Month on Month PPI Final Demand Month on Month Chart 0.6% 0.5% +0.8%
PPI Core Year on Year PPI Core Year on Year Chart 8.6% 9.2% 9.6%
Consumer Sentiment Consumer Sentiment Chart 0.6% -1.0%

Wednesday 15 December

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 4.9% 4.6% 3.9%
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) Chart 0.7% 0.8%
RPI Month on Month RPI Month on Month Chart 1.1% 0.4% 0.7%
RPI Year on Year RPI Year on Year Chart 6.0% 6.7% 7.1%
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart 1.1% 0.4% 0.7%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 4.2% 4.7% +5.1%
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) Chart 6.5% 7.9%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 3.4% 3.4% 3.4%
CPI Final Year on Year   4.0% 4.0% 3.9%
CPI Final Month on Month   0.8% 0.8% 0.7%
House Starts Annualized House Starts Annualized Chart 236.6k 234.3k 301.3k
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart 0.7% 0.2% +0.2%
CPI BoC Core Year on Year CPI BoC Core Year on Year Chart 3.8% 3.6% +3.6%
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month   1.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Retail Sales Month on Month   1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
CPI Boc Core Month on Month CPI Boc Core Month on Month Chart 0.6% 0.0%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 4.7% 4.7% +4.7%
Business Inventories Month on Month Business Inventories Month on Month Chart 0.7% 1.1% 1.2%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   -0.240Mln -2.082Mln -4.584Mln
FOMC Rate Decision   0.125% 0.125% 0.000 - 0.250%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -67.4Bln JP -675.0Bln JP -954.8Bln JP
Exports Year on Year Exports Year on Year Chart 9.4% 21.2% +20.5%
Imports Year on Year Imports Year on Year Chart 26.7% 40.0% +43.8%

Thursday 16 December

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 5.2% 5.0% +4.6%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 0.762Bln EU +0.291Bln EU
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 7.3Bln EU 7.6Bln EU 3.6Bln EU
MPC Vote For Rate Hike   2 2 8
MPC Vote For Rate Cut   0 0 0
BoE Rate Decision BoE Rate Decision Chart 0.10% 0.10% 0.25%
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged   7 7 1
BoE QE Total   875Bln GB 875Bln GB 875Bln GB
ECB Rate Decision ECB Rate Decision Chart 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Housing Starts Housing Starts Chart 1.520Mln 1.568Mln 1.679Mln
Philadelphia Fed Business Index Philadelphia Fed Business Index Chart 39.0 30.0 15.4
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 206k 200k 206k
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 1.6% 0.7% 0.5%

Friday 17 December

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart -14 -15
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 18.4% 19.9% +19.2%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -1.3% 4.2% 4.7%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 0.8% 0.8% +1.4%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 3.8% 1.4% +0.8%
IFO Business Climate Expectations IFO Business Climate Expectations Chart 94.2 93.5 92.6
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 4.9% 4.9% 4.9%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 0.8% 0.5% +0.4%

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