Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 13/02/23

Monday 13 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Sentiment Consumer Sentiment Chart 5.0% -6.9%
GDP Quarter on Quarter   -0.2% 0.5% 0.2%

Tuesday 14 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Revised Industrial Production Revised Chart -0.1% 0.3%
ILO Unemployment Rate ILO Unemployment Rate Chart 7.3% 7.3% 7.2%
Claimant Count Unemployment Change Claimant Count Unemployment Change Chart 19.7k -12.9k
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Chart 6.4% 6.2% 5.9%
Unemployment Rate (ILO) Unemployment Rate (ILO) Chart 3.7% 3.7% 3.7%
GDP Flash estimate Year on Year   1.9% 1.9% 1.9%
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
CPI Month on Month (sa) CPI Month on Month (sa) Chart -0.1% 0.5% 0.5%
CPI Year on Year (nsa) CPI Year on Year (nsa) Chart 6.5% 6.2% 6.4%

Wednesday 15 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart 0.4% -0.4% -0.6%
RPI Year on Year RPI Year on Year Chart 13.4% 13.2% 13.4%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 10.5% 10.3% 10.1%
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) Chart 0.1% 0.6%
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) Chart 12.4% 11.1%
RPI Month on Month RPI Month on Month Chart 0.6% -0.2% 0.0%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -11.7Bln EU -12.5Bln EU -8.8Bln EU
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart 2.0% -0.7% -1.7%
Industrial Production Month on Month   1.0% -0.8% -1.1%
House Starts Annualized House Starts Annualized Chart 248.6k 240.0k 215.4k
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month   -1.1% 0.8% 2.3%
Retail Sales Month on Month   -1.1% 1.8% 3.0%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart -0.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Business Inventories Month on Month Business Inventories Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.3% 0.3%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   2.423Mln 1.166Mln 16.283Mln
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -1448.5Bln JP -3871.5Bln JP -3496.6Bln JP
Exports Year on Year Exports Year on Year Chart 11.5% 0.8% 3.5%
Imports Year on Year Imports Year on Year Chart 20.6% 18.4% 17.8%

Thursday 16 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 3.5% 3.5% 3.7%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -0.371Bln EU -2.932Bln EU
PPI Core Year on Year PPI Core Year on Year Chart 6.2% 5.4% 6.0%
Philadelphia Fed Business Index Philadelphia Fed Business Index Chart -8.9 -7.4 -24.3
Housing Starts Housing Starts Chart 1.382Mln 1.360Mln 1.309Mln
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 196k 200k 194k
PPI excl Food and Energy MM PPI excl Food and Energy MM Chart 0.1% 0.3% 0.5%
PPI Final Demand Month on Month PPI Final Demand Month on Month Chart -0.5% 0.4% 0.7%

Friday 17 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 21.6% 16.4% 17.8%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.4% -1.6% -1.0%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -5.8% -5.5% -5.1%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -1.0% -0.3% 0.5%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 7.0% 7.0% 7.0%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart -1.1% -0.1% 0.4%
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart 7.6% 5.4%

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