Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 13/11/23


Monday 13 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Sentiment Consumer Sentiment Chart 2.9% -2.6%

Tuesday 14 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Chart 8.1% 7.4% 7.9%
Claimant Count Unemployment Change Claimant Count Unemployment Change Chart 20.4k 17.8k
Unemployment Rate (ILO) Unemployment Rate (ILO) Chart 4.2% 4.3% 4.2%
ZEW Economic sentiment ZEW Economic sentiment Chart -1.1 5.0 9.8
GDP Flash estimate Year on Year   0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
ZEW Current Conditions ZEW Current Conditions Chart -79.9 -76.9 -79.8
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter Chart -0.1% -0.1% -0.1%
CPI Year on Year (nsa) CPI Year on Year (nsa) Chart 3.7% 3.3% 3.2%
CPI Month on Month (sa) CPI Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
GDP Quarter on Quarter   1.2% -0.1% -0.5%

Wednesday 15 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 5.5% 7.0% 7.6%
Industrial Production Revised Industrial Production Revised Chart 0.2% 0.5%
ILO Unemployment Rate ILO Unemployment Rate Chart 7.2% 7.3% 7.4%
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) Chart 0.7% 0.2%
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
RPI Year on Year RPI Year on Year Chart 8.9% 6.4% 6.1%
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) Chart 0.0% 0.1%
RPI Month on Month RPI Month on Month Chart 0.5% 0.1% -0.2%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 6.7% 4.8% 4.6%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 4.5% 4.5% 4.5%
CPI Final Month on Month   0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -1.011Bln EU -0.47Bln EU
CPI Final Year on Year   1.9% 1.9% 1.8%
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart -5.1% -6.3% -6.9%
Industrial Production Month on Month   0.6% -1.0% -1.1%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 6.7Bln EU 10.0Bln EU
Retail Sales Month on Month   0.7% -0.3% -0.1%
PPI Final Demand Month on Month PPI Final Demand Month on Month Chart 0.5% 0.1% -0.5%
PPI excl Food and Energy MM PPI excl Food and Energy MM Chart 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month   0.6% 0.0% 0.1%
PPI Core Year on Year PPI Core Year on Year Chart 2.2% 1.9% 1.3%
Business Inventories Month on Month Business Inventories Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   13.869Mln 1.793Mln 3.600Mln
Exports Year on Year Exports Year on Year Chart 4.3% 1.2% 1.6%
Imports Year on Year Imports Year on Year Chart -16.3% -12.2% -12.5%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 62.4Bln JP -735.7Bln JP -662.5Bln JP

Thursday 16 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 3.6% 3.7% 3.7%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -1.011Bln EU -0.470Bln EU
House Starts Annualized House Starts Annualized Chart 270.5k 252.9k 274.7k
Philadelphia Fed Business Index Philadelphia Fed Business Index Chart -9.0 -9.0 -5.9
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 217k 220k 231k
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 0.3% -0.3% -0.6%

Friday 17 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -1.0% -1.5% -2.7%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.9% 0.3% -0.3%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 2.9% 2.9% 2.9%
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart 0.6% -2.7%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart 0.4% -1.0%
Housing Starts Housing Starts Chart 1.358Mln 1.350Mln 1.372Mln

MARKET ANALYSIS

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