Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 13/10/25
Monday 13 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.2% | ||
| 07:00 | 
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.5% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.5% | ||
| 13:30 | 
|
Trade Balance |
|
-78.3Bln US | -61.0Bln US | |
| 14:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-1.3% | 1.4% |
Tuesday 14 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) |
|
2.9% | 2.0% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.5% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| 07:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate (ILO) |
|
4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.2% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year |
|
4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% |
| 07:00 |
|
Claimant Count Unemployment Change |
|
17.4k | +25.8k | |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Current Conditions |
|
-76.4 | -74.8 | -80.0 |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Economic sentiment |
|
37.3 | 41.0 | 39.3 |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-78.3Bln US | -61.0Bln US | |
| 14:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-1.3% | 1.4% |
Wednesday 15 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 | 
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-2.9% | -2.3% | -2.3% |
| 02:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month (China) |
|
0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 05:30 | 
|
Industrial Production Revised |
|
-1.2% | -1.5% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.5% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.2% | ||
| 07:45 | 
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
-1.1% | -1.1% | -1.1% |
| 07:45 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% |
| 10:00 | 
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | 0.3% | -1.6% | -1.2% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
1.8% | -0.2% | +1.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month | 0.6% | 0.4% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
PPI Final Demand Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month | 0.7% | 0.3% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year |
|
2.6% | 2.7% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI excl Food and Energy MM |
|
-0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-78.3Bln US | -61.0Bln US | |
| 14:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Business Inventories Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 21:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-78.3Bln US | -61.0Bln US |
Thursday 16 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | 
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.2% | 4.3% | +4.5% |
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-22.244Bln GB | -21.900Bln GB | -21.183Bln GB |
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Month on Month |
|
-1.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Year on Year |
|
0.2% | -1.0% | -0.8% |
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance Non-EU |
|
-10.158Bln GB | -8.294Bln GB | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.2% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.5% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
0.1% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.5% | ||
| 09:00 | 
|
CPI Final Year on Year | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | |
| 09:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
12.4Bln EU | 1.0Bln EU | |
| 10:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
1.917Bln EU | +0.172Bln EU | |
| 13:15 | 
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
245.8k | 255.0k | 279.2k |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI Final Demand Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI excl Food and Energy MM |
|
-0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year |
|
2.6% | 2.7% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.307Mln | 1.320Mln | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month | 0.7% | 0.3% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Philadelphia Fed Business Index |
|
23.2 | 8.5 | -12.8 |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month | 0.6% | 0.4% | ||
| 14:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Business Inventories Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 17:00 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 3.715Mln | 0.288Mln | 3.524Mln | |
| 21:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-78.3Bln US | -61.0Bln US |
Friday 17 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.5% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.2% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.5% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI Final Demand Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month | 0.7% | 0.3% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.307Mln | 1.320Mln | |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year |
|
2.6% | 2.7% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI excl Food and Energy MM |
|
-0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month | 0.6% | 0.4% | ||
| 14:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Business Inventories Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 21:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-78.3Bln US | -61.0Bln US |
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