Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 14/07/25
Monday 14 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:30 | 
|
Industrial Production Revised |
|
0.5% | -0.1% | |
| 07:00 | 
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.1% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.8% |
Tuesday 15 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) |
|
0.6% | +2.7% | |
| 01:30 | 
|
Consumer Sentiment |
|
0.5% | +0.6% | |
| 03:00 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% |
| 03:00 |
|
China GDP Year on Year |
|
5.4% | 5.1% | +5.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.1% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.8% | ||
| 10:00 | 
|
ZEW Current Conditions |
|
-72.0 | -66.0 | -59.5 |
| 10:00 | 
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
0.8% | 2.4% | +3.7% |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Economic sentiment |
|
47.5 | 50.3 | 52.7 |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | -2.4% | 0.9% | +1.7% | |
| 13:15 | 
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
279.5k | 259.0k | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
0.6% | 0.1% | +0.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Boc Core Month on Month |
|
0.6% | +0.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
1.7% | 1.9% | +1.9% |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI BoC Core Year on Year |
|
2.5% | +2.7% | |
| 13:30 | 
|
CPI Year on Year (nsa) |
|
2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
Wednesday 16 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
3.4% | 3.4% | +3.6% |
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Year on Year |
|
4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% |
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.8% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | +0.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.1% | ||
| 09:00 | 
|
CPI Final Year on Year | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | |
| 09:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
0.162Bln EU | +0.776Bln EU | |
| 10:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
9.9Bln EU | 13.0Bln EU | +16.2Bln EU |
| 13:15 |
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
279.5k | 259.0k | 283.7k |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year |
|
2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI excl Food and Energy MM |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI Final Demand Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 14:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 7.070Mln | -0.552Mln | -3.859Mln |
Thursday 17 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 |
|
Imports Year on Year |
|
-7.7% | -1.6% | 0.2% |
| 00:50 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-637.6Bln JP | 353.9Bln JP | 153.1Bln JP |
| 00:50 |
|
Exports Year on Year |
|
-1.7% | 0.5% | -0.5% |
| 02:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.1% | 4.1% | +4.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.1% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Claimant Count Unemployment Change |
|
33.1k | +25.9k | |
| 07:00 |
|
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year |
|
5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| 07:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate (ILO) |
|
4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.8% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.3% | +0.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month | -0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month | -0.9% | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
227k | 235k | 221k |
| 13:30 |
|
Philadelphia Fed Business Index |
|
-4.0 | -1.0 | 15.9 |
| 15:00 |
|
Business Inventories Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Friday 18 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year |
|
3.7% | 3.3% | +3.3% |
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Overall Nationwide |
|
3.5% | +3.3% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.1% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.2% | 0.0% | +0.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-1.2% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.8% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.256Mln | 1.300Mln | 1.321Mln |
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