Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 14/06/21

Monday 14 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Revised Industrial Production Revised Chart 2.5% 2.9%
Industrial Production Month on Month   0.1% 0.4% +0.8%
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart 10.9% 37.4% +39.3%

Tuesday 15 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate (ILO) Unemployment Rate (ILO) Chart 4.8% 4.7% 4.7%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
Claimant Count Unemployment Change Claimant Count Unemployment Change Chart -15.1k -92.6k
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Chart 4.0% 4.9% 5.6%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 1.8% 1.8% 1.8%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
CPI Final Month on Month   0.0% 0.0% -0.1%
CPI Final Year on Year   1.3% 1.3% 1.2%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 15.8Bln EU 10.9Bln EU
House Starts Annualized House Starts Annualized Chart 268.6k 270.0k 275.9k
Retail Sales Month on Month   0.0% -0.8% -1.3%
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month   -0.8% 0.2% -0.7%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 0.7% 0.6% 0.8%
Business Inventories Month on Month Business Inventories Month on Month Chart 0.3% -0.1% -0.2%

Wednesday 16 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Imports Year on Year Imports Year on Year Chart 12.8% 26.6% +27.9%
Exports Year on Year Exports Year on Year Chart 38.0% 51.3% +49.6%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 255.3Bln JP -91.2Bln JP -187.1Bln JP
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart 0.6% 0.3% 0.6%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 1.5% 1.8% 2.1%
RPI Month on Month RPI Month on Month Chart 1.4% 0.3% 0.3%
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) Chart 0.5% +0.4%
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) Chart 2.5% +2.7%
RPI Year on Year RPI Year on Year Chart 2.9% 3.3% 3.3%
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 17.7% 13.6% 12.4%
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart 0.5% 0.4% 0.5%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 3.4% 3.5% 3.6%
Housing Starts Housing Starts Chart 1.569Mln 1.630Mln 1.572Mln
CPI BoC Core Year on Year CPI BoC Core Year on Year Chart 2.3% 2.4% +2.8%
CPI Boc Core Month on Month CPI Boc Core Month on Month Chart 0.5% 0.4% +0.4%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   -5.241Mln -3.290Mln -7.355Mln
FOMC Rate Decision   0.125% 0.125%

Thursday 17 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 5.5% 5.5% +5.1%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 0.384Bln EU 1.012Bln EU
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 0.6% 0.3% 0.3%
Philadelphia Fed Business Index Philadelphia Fed Business Index Chart 31.5 31.0 30.7
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 376k 380k 412k

Friday 18 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
CPI Overall Nationwide CPI Overall Nationwide Chart -0.4% -0.1%
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year Chart -0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 9.2% 1.6% -1.4%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 5.2% 6.4% +7.2%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.8% 0.7% +1.5%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 42.4% 29.0% 24.6%

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