Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 15/07/24
Monday 15 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:00 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
3.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| 03:00 |
|
China GDP Year on Year |
|
5.3% | 5.1% | +4.7% |
| 10:00 | 
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | -0.1% | -0.8% | -0.6% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
-3.0% | -3.6% | -2.9% |
Tuesday 16 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.2% | 0.0% | |
| 07:00 | 
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
1.5% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.2% | ||
| 09:00 | 
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 09:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Current Conditions |
|
-73.8 | -74.5 | -68.9 |
| 10:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
15.0Bln EU | +13.9Bln EU | |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Economic sentiment |
|
47.5 | 42.3 | 41.8 |
| 10:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-0.228Bln EU | +0.524Bln EU | |
| 13:15 | 
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
264.5k | 255.0k | 241.7k |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Boc Core Month on Month |
|
0.6% | -0.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
0.6% | 0.0% | -0.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI BoC Core Year on Year |
|
1.8% | +1.9% | |
| 13:30 | 
|
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month | -0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month | 0.1% | -0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Business Inventories Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| 23:45 | 
|
CPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| 23:45 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% |
Wednesday 17 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Year on Year |
|
3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
1.5% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.2% | 0.0% | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) |
|
0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.1% | +0.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
2.0% | 1.9% | +2.0% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.2% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) |
|
1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| 13:30 |
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.277Mln | 1.300Mln | 1.353Mln |
| 14:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -3.443Mln | -0.033Mln | -4.870Mln |
Thursday 18 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 | 
|
Imports Year on Year |
|
9.5% | 9.3% | 3.2% |
| 00:50 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-1221.3Bln JP | -240.0Bln JP | 224Bln JP |
| 00:50 |
|
Exports Year on Year |
|
13.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% |
| 02:30 | 
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.0% | 4.0% | +4.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate (ILO) |
|
4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
1.5% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.2% | 0.0% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.2% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Claimant Count Unemployment Change |
|
50.4k | +32.3k | |
| 07:00 |
|
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year |
|
5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 13:15 |
|
ECB Rate Decision |
|
4.25% | 4.25% | 4.25% |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
222k | 230k | 243k |
| 13:30 |
|
Philadelphia Fed Business Index |
|
1.3 | 2.9 | 13.9 |
Friday 19 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-14 | -12 | -13 |
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Overall Nationwide |
|
2.8% | 2.8% | |
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year |
|
2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.2% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
2.9% | -0.4% | -1.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.2% | 0.0% | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-2.2% | -1.6% | -1.6% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.3% | 0.2% | -0.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
Public Sector Net Borrowing | 14.100Bln GB | 13.589Bln GB | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
1.5% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.7% | -0.6% | -0.8% |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
1.8% | 2.8% |
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