Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 15/10/12


Monday 15 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -3.5% -3.6% -3.6%
CPI Month on Month (China) CPI Month on Month (China) Chart 0.6% 0.4% 0.3%
Industrial Production Revised Industrial Production Revised Chart -1.3% -1.6%
Retail Sales Month on Month   0.9% 0.8% +1.1%
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month   0.8% 0.6% +1.1%
Business Inventories Month on Month Business Inventories Month on Month Chart 0.8% 0.5% +0.6%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Aveva Group, Chamberlin, Filtrona, Jelf Group, McBride, Nanoco Group, Omega Diagnostic, Optos, SDL, SkyePharma

Tuesday 16 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 2.653bln EU 0.374bln EU
RPI Year on Year RPI Year on Year Chart 2.9% 2.6% +2.6%
RPI Month on Month RPI Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.5% +0.5%
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart 0.5% 0.4% +0.4%
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) Chart 1.2% 1.1% +1.2%
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) Chart 0.1% 0.1% +0.3%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 2.5% 2.2% +2.2%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 2.7% 2.7% 2.6%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.8% 0.7%
ZEW Economic sentiment ZEW Economic sentiment Chart -18.2 -15.0 -11.5
ZEW Current Conditions ZEW Current Conditions Chart 12.6 11.3 10.0
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 15.6bln 6.6bln
CPI Year on Year (nsa) CPI Year on Year (nsa) Chart 1.7% 1.9% +2.0%
CPI Month on Month (sa) CPI Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.6% 0.5% +0.6%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart -1.2% 0.2% +0.4%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Bellway, Brown(N.)Group, Carpetright, Epistem Holding, JKX Oil & Gas, Petropavlovsk, Record, RSM Tenon Group, Smiths News, Spirit Pub Company

Wednesday 17 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Chart 1.5% 1.6% +1.7%
Unemployment Rate (ILO) Unemployment Rate (ILO) Chart 8.1% 8.1% 7.9%
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged   9 9 9
MPC Vote For Rate Hike   0 0 0
Claimant Count Unemployment Change Claimant Count Unemployment Change Chart -15.0k 0.0k -4.0k
MPC Vote For Rate Cut   0 0 0
ZEW Investor Sentiment   -34.9 -28.9
Housing Starts Housing Starts Chart 0.750mln 0.770mln 0.872mln

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Caretech Holdings, International Personal Finance, RSM Tenon Group, Speedy Hire

Thursday 18 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 13.2% 13.2% +14.2%
China GDP Year on Year China GDP Year on Year Chart 7.6% 7.4% +7.4%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.2% 0.4% +0.6%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 2.7% 2.1% +2.5%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 339k 365k 388k
Philadelphia Fed Business Index Philadelphia Fed Business Index Chart -1.9 1.0 5.7

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Arbuthnot Banking Group, Booker Group, Britvic, Cairn Energy, Evraz, Go-Ahead Group, Hochschild Mining, Jardine Lloyd Thompson Group, Jupiter Fund Management, Low & Bonar, MAN Group, Mothercare, NCC Group, Renishaw, SABMiller, Statpro Group, PubMatic, Xaar
Flag of the USA
Baxter Intl Inc, BB&T Corp, Blackstone Group (All Sessions), Boston Scientific (All Sessions), Cap One Financial, Chipotle Mex Grill, Danaher, Diamond Offshore, Genuine Parts Co, Keycorp New, Lab Crp Of Amer, Morgan Stanley China, NCR Corporation, Nucor, Philip Morris , PPG Industries, Premier Global Services, Rob Half Intl, Snap-On Inc, Southwest Airlines, Supervalu, Travelers Companies, Union Pacific Cp, USG Corp, Verizon Comms Inc

Friday 19 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.5% 0.3% 0.3%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 1.6% 1.6% 1.7%
Public Sector Borrowing ex Financial Interventions Public Sector Borrowing ex Financial Interventions Chart 14.410bln GB 13.500bln GB 12.809bln GB
Public Sector Net Borrowing   12.36bln 11.40bln 10.732bln
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 1.2% 1.3% +1.2%
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.3% +0.2%
CPI Boc Core Month on Month CPI Boc Core Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.3% +0.2%
CPI BoC Core Year on Year CPI BoC Core Year on Year Chart 1.6% 1.5% +1.3%
Existing Home Sales Existing Home Sales Chart 4.82mln 4.75mln 4.75mln

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Bunzl, Petrofac, Rank Group, William Hill

MARKET ANALYSIS

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