Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 16/01/23

Monday 16 January

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Sentiment Consumer Sentiment Chart 3.0% 5.0%

Tuesday 17 January

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
China GDP Year on Year China GDP Year on Year Chart 3.9% 1.8% +2.9%
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart -5.9% -8.6% -1.8%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 8.6% 8.6% +8.6%
Unemployment Rate (ILO) Unemployment Rate (ILO) Chart 3.7% 3.7% 3.7%
Claimant Count Unemployment Change Claimant Count Unemployment Change Chart 30.5k +19.7k
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Chart 6.1% 6.2% +6.4%
CPI Final Year on Year   12.3% 12.3% 12.3%
CPI Final Month on Month   0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
ZEW Economic sentiment ZEW Economic sentiment Chart -23.3 -15.0 16.9
ZEW Current Conditions ZEW Current Conditions Chart -61.4 -58.0 -58.6
House Starts Annualized House Starts Annualized Chart 264.2k 257.5k 248.6k
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart 0.1% -0.5% -0.6%
CPI Boc Core Month on Month CPI Boc Core Month on Month Chart 0.0% -0.3%
CPI BoC Core Year on Year CPI BoC Core Year on Year Chart 5.8% +5.4%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 6.8% 6.4% 6.3%

Wednesday 18 January

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Revised Industrial Production Revised Chart -0.1% 0.2%
RPI Month on Month RPI Month on Month Chart 0.6% 0.7% 0.6%
RPI Year on Year RPI Year on Year Chart 14.0% 13.6% 13.4%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 10.7% 10.5% +10.5%
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.4% +0.4%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 0.104Bln EU -0.371Bln EU
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 9.2% 9.2% 9.2%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart -0.1% -0.3% -0.4%
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month   -0.2% -0.4% -1.1%
PPI Core Year on Year PPI Core Year on Year Chart 7.4% 6.8% 6.2%
PPI Final Demand Month on Month PPI Final Demand Month on Month Chart 0.3% -0.1% -0.5%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart -0.4% -0.3% -1.1%
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart 9.7% 7.6%
Retail Sales Month on Month   -0.6% -0.8% -1.1%
PPI excl Food and Energy MM PPI excl Food and Energy MM Chart 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart -0.2% -0.1% -0.7%
Business Inventories Month on Month Business Inventories Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.4% +0.4%
Imports Year on Year Imports Year on Year Chart 30.3% 22.4% +20.6%
Exports Year on Year Exports Year on Year Chart 20.0% 10.1% +11.5%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -2029.0Bln JP -1652.8Bln JP -1448.5Bln JP

Thursday 19 January

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 3.4% 3.4% +3.5%
Housing Starts Housing Starts Chart 1.427Mln 1.359Mln 1.382Mln
Philadelphia Fed Business Index Philadelphia Fed Business Index Chart -13.8 -11.0 -8.9
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 205k 214k 190k
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   18.962Mln -0.593Mln 8.408Mln
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year Chart 3.7% 4.0% +4.0%
CPI Overall Nationwide CPI Overall Nationwide Chart 3.8% +4.0%
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year Chart 3.7% 4.0% +4.0%
CPI Overall Nationwide CPI Overall Nationwide Chart 3.8% +4.0%

Friday 20 January

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart -42 -40 -45
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -5.9% -4.1% -5.8%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.4% 0.5% -1.0%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -3.9% -1.2% -0.4%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 28.2% 20.8% +21.6%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 1.4% -0.5% -0.1%
Existing Home Sales Existing Home Sales Chart 4.09Mln 3.96Mln 4.02Mln

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