Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 16/06/25
Monday 16 June
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:00 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% |
| 07:00 | 
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.5% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.5% | ||
| 09:00 | 
|
CPI Final Year on Year | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | |
| 09:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.1% | 0.1% | -0.1% | |
| 13:15 | 
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
278.6k | 245.0k | 279.5k |
Tuesday 17 June
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.5% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.5% | ||
| 10:00 | 
|
ZEW Current Conditions |
|
-82.0 | -75.0 | -72.0 |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Economic sentiment |
|
25.2 | 35.0 | 47.5 |
| 13:30 | 
|
Retail Sales Month on Month | 0.1% | -0.7% | -0.9% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month | 0.1% | 0.1% | -0.3% | |
| 14:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.1% | -0.2% |
| 15:00 |
|
Business Inventories Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Wednesday 18 June
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 | 
|
Imports Year on Year |
|
-2.2% | -6.7% | -7.7% |
| 00:50 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-115.8Bln JP | -892.9Bln JP | -637.6Bln JP |
| 00:50 |
|
Exports Year on Year |
|
2.0% | -3.8% | -1.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.5% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Year on Year |
|
4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Month on Month |
|
1.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.5% | ||
| 10:00 | 
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 13:30 |
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.361Mln | 1.357Mln | 1.256Mln |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
248k | 245k | 245k |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -3.644Mln | -1.794Mln | -11.473Mln | |
| 19:00 |
|
FOMC Rate Decision | 4.375% | 4.375% | 4.250 - 4.500% |
Thursday 19 June
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 | 
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.1% | 4.1% | +4.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.5% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.5% | ||
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 2 | 7 | 6 | |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
4.25% | 4.25% | 4.25% |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 7 | 2 | 3 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Friday 20 June
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-20 | -20 | -18 |
| 00:01 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-20 | -20 | -18 |
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Overall Nationwide |
|
3.6% | 3.5% | |
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year |
|
3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
5.0% | 1.7% | -1.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.5% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Public Sector Net Borrowing | 20.155Bln GB | 16.200Bln GB | 17.686Bln GB | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
5.0% | 1.7% | -1.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | -0.3% | -0.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.5% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
1.2% | -0.5% | -2.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
1.2% | -0.5% | -2.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
Public Sector Net Borrowing | 20.155Bln GB | 16.200Bln GB | 17.686Bln GB | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-0.9% | -1.2% | -1.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.8% | -0.1% | -0.5% |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
2.0% | 1.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.8% | -0.1% | -0.5% |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.8% | 0.5% | +0.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.8% | 0.5% | +0.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
2.0% | 1.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Philadelphia Fed Business Index |
|
-4.0 | -1.0 | -4.0 |
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