Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 16/10/23
Monday 16 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:30 | 
|
Industrial Production Revised |
|
0.0% | -0.7% | |
| 09:00 | 
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
1.331Bln EU | -1.011Bln EU | |
| 09:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
1.065Bln EU | -1.011Bln EU | |
| 10:00 | 
|
Trade Balance |
|
6.5Bln EU | 6.7Bln EU | |
| 22:45 | 
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% |
| 22:45 |
|
CPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
Tuesday 17 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 
|
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year |
|
8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% |
| 10:00 | 
|
ZEW Current Conditions |
|
-79.4 | -80.8 | -79.9 |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Economic sentiment |
|
-11.4 | -9.3 | -1.1 |
| 13:15 | 
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
252.8k | 240.0k | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Boc Core Month on Month |
|
0.1% | -0.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI BoC Core Year on Year |
|
3.3% | 2.8% | |
| 13:30 | 
|
Retail Sales Month on Month | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.1% | -0.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 14:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| 15:00 |
|
Business Inventories Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
Wednesday 18 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:00 | 
|
China GDP Year on Year |
|
6.3% | 4.4% | +4.9% |
| 03:00 |
|
Retail Sales |
|
4.6% | 4.9% | +5.5% |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.5% | +0.5% |
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Month on Month |
|
0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Year on Year |
|
9.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) |
|
1.6% | 0.7% | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) |
|
-0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 13:15 |
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
252.8k | 240.0k | 270.5k |
| 13:30 |
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.283Mln | 1.380Mln | 1.358Mln |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 10.176Mln | -0.300Mln | -4.491Mln |
Thursday 19 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 |
|
Exports Year on Year |
|
-0.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% |
| 00:50 |
|
Imports Year on Year |
|
-17.8% | -12.9% | -16.3% |
| 00:50 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-930.5Bln JP | -425.0Bln JP | 62.4Bln JP |
| 01:30 | 
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
3.7% | 3.7% | +3.6% |
| 13:30 |
|
Philadelphia Fed Business Index |
|
-13.5 | -6.6 | -9.0 |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
-0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
209k | 212k | 198k |
| 15:00 |
|
Existing Home Sales |
|
4.04Mln | 3.89Mln | 3.96Mln |
Friday 20 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-21 | -20 | -30 |
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Overall Nationwide |
|
3.2% | +3.0% | |
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year |
|
3.1% | 2.7% | +2.8% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.4% | -0.2% | -0.9% |
| 07:00 |
|
Public Sector Net Borrowing | 10.756Bln GB | 13.526Bln GB | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-1.4% | -0.1% | -1.0% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-12.6% | -14.2% | -14.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.4% | -0.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.3% | -0.3% | -0.1% |
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