Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 16/09/24
Monday 16 September
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.2% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 09:00 | 
|
CPI Final Year on Year | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | |
| 09:00 | 
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.2% | 0.1% | |
| 09:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.2% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-1.045Bln EU | +0.642Bln EU | |
| 10:00 | 
|
Trade Balance |
|
22.3Bln EU | +21.2Bln EU |
Tuesday 17 September
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.2% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.2% | 0.1% | |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Current Conditions |
|
-77.3 | -80.0 | -84.5 |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Economic sentiment |
|
19.2 | 17.0 | 3.6 |
| 13:15 | 
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
279.5k | 252.5k | 217.4k |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI BoC Core Year on Year |
|
1.7% | +1.5% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.0% | -0.2% |
| 13:30 | 
|
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Boc Core Month on Month |
|
0.3% | -0.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month | 1.0% | -0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 14:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% |
| 15:00 |
|
Business Inventories Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
Wednesday 18 September
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 | 
|
Exports Year on Year |
|
10.3% | 10.0% | 5.6% |
| 00:50 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-621.8Bln JP | -1380.0Bln JP | -695.3Bln JP |
| 00:50 |
|
Imports Year on Year |
|
16.6% | 13.4% | 2.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
2.2% | 2.2% | +2.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.2% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) |
|
0.0% | 0.1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) |
|
1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Year on Year |
|
3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
-0.2% | 0.3% | +0.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.2% | 0.1% | |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.238Mln | 1.310Mln | 1.356Mln |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 0.833Mln | -0.500Mln | -1.630Mln | |
| 19:00 |
|
FOMC Rate Decision | 5.375% | 5.125% | 4.75 - 5.00% |
Thursday 19 September
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 | 
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.2% | 4.2% | +4.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.2% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.2% | 0.1% | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
5.00% | 5.00% | 5.0% |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 4 | 7 | 8 | |
| 13:30 |
|
Philadelphia Fed Business Index |
|
-7.0 | -1.0 | 1.7 |
| 13:30 |
|
Current Account Balance |
|
-237.6Bln US | -260.0Bln US | -266.8Bln US |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
230k | 230k | 219k |
| 15:00 |
|
Existing Home Sales |
|
3.95Mln | 3.90Mln | 3.86Mln |
Friday 20 September
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-13 | -13 | -20 |
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year |
|
2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% |
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Overall Nationwide |
|
2.8% | 3.0% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.2% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-0.8% | -1.0% | -0.8% |
| 07:00 |
|
Public Sector Net Borrowing | 2.177Bln GB | 13.734Bln GB | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.0% | +0.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.2% | 0.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
0.0% | -0.8% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
2.9% | 0.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% |
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