Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 17/12/18
Monday 17 December
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.7 | |||
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 49.6 | |||
| 08:55 | 
|
PMI Services | 52.5 | 53.0 | ||
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.4 | |||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 51.3 | |||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 51.4 | |||
| 09:00 | 
|
Trade Balance |
|
1.183Bln EU | 0.744Bln EU | |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% |
| 10:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
13.1Bln EU | 13.7Bln EU | 14Bln EU |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% |
Corporate Statements
Tuesday 18 December
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 49.6 | |||
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 52.5 | 53.0 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 51.3 | |||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.4 | |||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 51.4 | |||
| 13:30 |
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.228Mln | 1.225Mln | 1.256Mln |
| 23:50 | 
|
Imports Year on Year |
|
19.9% | 11.5% | +12.5% |
| 23:50 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-449.3Bln JP | -600.3Bln JP | -737.3Bln JP |
| 23:50 |
|
Exports Year on Year |
|
8.2% | 1.8% | +0.1% |
Corporate Statements
Wednesday 19 December
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.3% | -0.1% | 0.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% |
| 09:30 | 
|
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | +0.1% |
| 09:30 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) |
|
2.4% | 2.3% | +2.4% |
| 09:30 |
|
RPI Year on Year |
|
3.3% | 3.2% | +3.2% |
| 09:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
2.4% | 2.3% | +2.3% |
| 09:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | +0.2% |
| 09:30 |
|
RPI Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 13:30 | 
|
CPI BoC Core Year on Year |
|
1.6% | +1.5% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Boc Core Month on Month |
|
0.4% | -0.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
0.3% | -0.4% | -0.4% |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% |
| 13:30 |
|
Current Account Balance |
|
-101.5Bln US | -124.3Bln US | -124.8Bln US |
| 15:00 |
|
Existing Home Sales |
|
5.22Mln | 5.20Mln | 5.32Mln |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -1.208Mln | -2.437Mln | -0.497Mln | |
| 19:00 |
|
FOMC Rate Decision | 2.125% | 2.375% | 2.250 - 2.500% |
Corporate Statements
Thursday 20 December
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% |
| 09:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
5.8% | 4.5% | |
| 09:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
1.3% | -0.7% | |
| 09:30 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
2.2% | 1.9% | +3.6% |
| 09:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.5% | 0.3% | +1.4% |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE QE Total | 435Bln GB | 435Bln GB | 435.0Bln GB | |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
0.75% | 0.75% | 0.75% |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 9 | 9 | 9 | |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
206k | 216k | 214k |
| 13:30 |
|
Philadelphia Fed Business Index |
|
12.9 | 15.0 | 9.4 |
| 23:30 |
|
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year |
|
1.0% | 1.0% | +0.9% |
| 23:30 |
|
CPI Overall Nationwide |
|
1.4% | +0.8% |
Corporate Statements
Friday 21 December
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-13 | -14 | -14 |
| 07:00 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
10.4 | 10.3 | 10.4 |
| 07:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.4% | +0.1% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence | 114.8 | 114.0 | 113.1 | |
| 09:30 |
|
Public Sector Net Borrowing | 7.956Bln GB | 7.050Bln GB | 6.345Bln GB | |
| 09:30 |
|
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| 09:30 |
|
GDP Final Year on Year | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | |
| 09:30 |
|
Current Account |
|
-20.317Bln GB | -21.200Bln GB | -26.522Bln GB |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.2% | +0.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
Durable Goods | -4.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | |
| 15:00 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.0% | +1.8% | |
| 15:00 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
1.8% | 1.9% | +1.9% |
| 15:00 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.5% | 0.3% | +0.2% |
| 15:00 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.4% | +0.3% | |
| 15:00 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | +0.1% |
| 15:00 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.2% | +0.1% |
Corporate Statements
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