Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 17/03/25
Monday 17 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:00 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
| 09:00 | 
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 09:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | |
| 12:15 | 
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
239.7k | 246.2k | 229.0k |
| 12:30 | 
|
Retail Sales Month on Month | -0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 12:30 |
|
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month | -0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 14:00 |
|
Business Inventories Month on Month |
|
-0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
Tuesday 18 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-1.861Bln EU | -0.635Bln EU | |
| 09:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-1.861Bln EU | -0.635Bln EU | |
| 10:00 | 
|
Trade Balance |
|
15.5Bln EU | +1.0Bln EU | |
| 10:00 | 
|
ZEW Current Conditions |
|
-88.5 | -80.5 | -87.6 |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Economic sentiment |
|
26.0 | 50.3 | 51.6 |
| 10:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
15.5Bln EU | +1.0Bln EU | |
| 12:30 |
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.366Mln | 1.380Mln | 1.501Mln |
| 12:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.6% | +1.1% |
| 12:30 |
|
CPI Boc Core Month on Month |
|
0.4% | +0.7% | |
| 12:30 |
|
CPI BoC Core Year on Year |
|
2.1% | +2.7% | |
| 12:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
1.9% | 2.2% | +2.6% |
| 12:30 |
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.366Mln | 1.380Mln | 1.501Mln |
| 13:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% |
| 13:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% |
| 23:50 | 
|
Imports Year on Year |
|
16.7% | 0.1% | -0.7% |
| 23:50 |
|
Exports Year on Year |
|
7.2% | 12.1% | 11.4% |
| 23:50 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-2758.8Bln JP | 722.8Bln JP | 584.5Bln JP |
| 23:50 |
|
Exports Year on Year |
|
7.2% | 12.1% | 11.4% |
| 23:50 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-2758.8Bln JP | 722.8Bln JP | 584.5Bln JP |
| 23:50 |
|
Imports Year on Year |
|
16.7% | 0.1% | -0.7% |
Wednesday 19 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:30 |
|
Industrial Production Revised |
|
-1.1% | -1.1% | |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | 0.5% | +0.4% |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 1.448Mln | 0.512Mln | 1.745Mln | |
| 18:00 |
|
FOMC Rate Decision | 4.375% | 4.375% | 4.25 - 4.50% |
Thursday 20 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.1% | 4.1% | +4.1% |
| 07:00 | 
|
Unemployment Rate (ILO) |
|
4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
0.5% | 1.0% | +0.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
Claimant Count Unemployment Change |
|
22.0k | +44.2k | |
| 07:00 |
|
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year |
|
6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.1% | -0.2% |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 9 | 2 | 1 | |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
4.50% | 4.50% | 4.5% |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 0 | 7 | 8 | |
| 12:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
5.8% | 4.9% | |
| 12:30 |
|
Current Account Balance |
|
-310.9Bln US | -325.5Bln US | -303.9Bln US |
| 12:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
220k | 224k | 223k |
| 12:30 |
|
Philadelphia Fed Business Index |
|
18.1 | 8.5 | 12.5 |
| 12:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
1.6% | 0.4% | |
| 14:00 |
|
Existing Home Sales |
|
4.08Mln | 3.95Mln | 4.26Mln |
| 23:30 |
|
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year |
|
3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% |
| 23:30 |
|
CPI Overall Nationwide |
|
4.0% | 3.7% |
Friday 21 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-20 | -21 | -19 |
| 07:00 |
|
Public Sector Net Borrowing | -15.442Bln GB | 10.710Bln GB | ||
| 12:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
2.5% | -0.4% | -0.6% |
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