Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 17/11/25
Monday 17 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:30 | 
|
Industrial Production Revised |
|
2.2% | 2.6% | |
| 07:00 | 
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.3% | ||
| 09:00 | 
|
CPI Final Year on Year | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 09:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | |
| 12:30 | 
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.9% | 2.9% | |
| 12:30 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 12:30 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.4% | ||
| 13:00 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 13:00 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.9% | 2.9% | |
| 13:00 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.7% | 2.8% | |
| 13:00 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.4% | ||
| 13:00 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 13:00 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13:30 | 
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
2.4% | 2.1% | +2.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI BoC Core Year on Year |
|
2.8% | +2.9% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | +0.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Durable Goods | 0.2% | |||
| 13:30 |
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.307Mln | 1.320Mln | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month | 0.7% | 0.3% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-78.3Bln US | -61.0Bln US | |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year |
|
2.6% | 2.7% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Boc Core Month on Month |
|
0.2% | +0.6% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-6.32Bln CA | ||
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year (nsa) |
|
3.0% | 3.0% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI Final Demand Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month | 0.6% | 0.4% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
PPI excl Food and Energy MM |
|
-0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 14:00 |
|
Business Inventories Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 14:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 14:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 15:00 |
|
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month |
|
0.800Mln | 0.709Mln | |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 21:29 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
2.8% |
Tuesday 18 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.3% | ||
| 13:00 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.4% | ||
| 13:00 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.7% | 2.8% | |
| 13:00 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13:00 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 13:00 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.9% | 2.9% | |
| 13:00 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 13:15 |
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
279.2k | 265.0k | 232.8k |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI Final Demand Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI excl Food and Energy MM |
|
-0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year (nsa) |
|
3.0% | 3.0% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.307Mln | 1.320Mln | |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year |
|
2.6% | 2.7% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Durable Goods | 2.9% | 0.2% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-6.32Bln CA | ||
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month | 0.7% | 0.3% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month | 0.6% | 0.4% | ||
| 14:00 |
|
Business Inventories Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 14:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% |
| 21:29 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
2.8% | ||
| 23:50 |
|
Imports Year on Year |
|
3.3% | -0.7% | |
| 23:50 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-234.6Bln JP | -280.1Bln JP | |
| 23:50 |
|
Exports Year on Year |
|
4.2% | 1.1% |
Wednesday 19 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Year on Year |
|
4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Month on Month |
|
-0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) |
|
3.6% | 3.5% | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) |
|
0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.3% | ||
| 10:00 | 
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% |
| 13:00 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.4% | ||
| 13:00 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13:00 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 13:00 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.9% | 2.9% | |
| 13:00 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.7% | 2.8% | |
| 13:00 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.307Mln | 1.320Mln | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month | 0.6% | 0.4% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Durable Goods | 2.9% | 0.2% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year (nsa) |
|
3.0% | 3.0% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-78.3Bln US | -61.0Bln US | -59.6Bln US |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month | 0.7% | 0.3% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-6.32Bln CA | ||
| 14:00 |
|
Business Inventories Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 14:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 6.413Mln | -0.603Mln | -3.426Mln | |
| 21:29 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
2.8% | ||
| 22:01 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
2.8% |
Thursday 20 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-1.7% | -1.9% | -1.8% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.0% | +0.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.3% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | ||
| 13:00 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.7% | 2.8% | |
| 13:00 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.9% | 2.9% | |
| 13:00 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.4% | ||
| 13:00 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13:00 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 13:00 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year (nsa) |
|
3.0% | 3.0% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Philadelphia Fed Business Index |
|
-12.8 | 2.0 | -1.7 |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
5.5% | 6.0% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
0.8% | 0.3% | 1.5% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
-4K | 53K | 119K |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
5.5% | 6.0% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
0.8% | 0.3% | 1.5% |
| 13:30 |
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.307Mln | 1.320Mln | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-6.32Bln CA | ||
| 14:00 |
|
Business Inventories Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 14:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Existing Home Sales |
|
4.06Mln | 4.08Mln | 4.10Mln |
| 15:00 |
|
Existing Home Sales |
|
4.06Mln | 4.08Mln | 4.10Mln |
| 22:01 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
2.8% | ||
| 23:30 |
|
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year |
|
2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| 23:30 |
|
CPI Overall Nationwide |
|
2.9% | 3.0% | |
| 23:50 |
|
Imports Year on Year |
|
3.0% | -0.7% | 0.7% |
| 23:50 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-237.4Bln JP | -280.1Bln JP | -231.8Bln JP |
| 23:50 |
|
Exports Year on Year |
|
4.2% | 1.1% | 3.6% |
Friday 21 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-17 | -18 | -19 |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.5% | 0.0% | -1.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | 1.4% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.3% | -0.1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| 13:00 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13:00 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 13:00 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 13:00 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.4% | ||
| 13:00 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.7% | 2.8% | |
| 13:00 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.9% | 2.9% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year (nsa) |
|
3.0% | 3.0% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
1.0% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 13:30 |
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.307Mln | 1.320Mln | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-6.32Bln CA | ||
| 14:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Expectation |
|
49.0 | 51.0 | |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Conditions |
|
52.3 | 51.1 | |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Sentiment |
|
50.3 | 50.5 | 51.0 |
| 22:01 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
2.8% |
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