Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 18/08/25


Monday 18 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 2.4%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.6%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 16.2Bln EU 13.0Bln EU +7.0Bln EU
House Starts Annualized House Starts Annualized Chart 283.7k 265.0k 294.1k

Tuesday 19 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Sentiment Consumer Sentiment Chart 0.6% 5.7%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 2.4%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.6%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 1.9% 1.8% +1.7%
Housing Starts Housing Starts Chart 1.321Mln 1.290Mln 1.428Mln
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.3% +0.3%
CPI Boc Core Month on Month CPI Boc Core Month on Month Chart 0.1% +0.1%
CPI BoC Core Year on Year CPI BoC Core Year on Year Chart 2.7% +2.6%

Wednesday 20 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Imports Year on Year Imports Year on Year Chart 0.2% -10.4% -7.5%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 153.1Bln JP 196.2Bln JP -117.5Bln JP
Exports Year on Year Exports Year on Year Chart -0.5% -2.1% -2.6%
RBNZ Rate Decision RBNZ Rate Decision Chart 3.25% 3.00% 3.0%
RPI Month on Month RPI Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.1% 0.4%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 2.4%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.6%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 3.6% 3.7% +3.8%
RPI Year on Year RPI Year on Year Chart 4.4% 4.5% 4.8%
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart 0.3% -0.1% 0.1%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.1% -0.1%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -1.3% -1.3% -1.5%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   3.036Mln -1.759Mln -6.014Mln

Thursday 21 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.6%
Public Sector Net Borrowing   17.440Bln GB 16.750Bln GB 1.054Bln GB
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 2.4%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.3% 0.7%
Philadelphia Fed Business Index Philadelphia Fed Business Index Chart 15.9 7.0 -0.3
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart 1.7% 2.6%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 224k 225k 235k
Existing Home Sales Existing Home Sales Chart 3.93Mln 3.92Mln 4.01Mln

Friday 22 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart -19 -20 -17
CPI Overall Nationwide CPI Overall Nationwide Chart 3.3% 3.1%
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year Chart 3.3% 3.0% 3.1%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 2.4%
GDP Year on Year GDP Year on Year Chart 0.0% 0.0% -0.2%
GDP Quarter on Quarter GDP Quarter on Quarter Chart -0.1% -0.1% -0.3%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.6%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -1.1% 1.5% 1.5%

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