Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 21/10/13

Monday 21 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Exports Year on Year Exports Year on Year Chart 14.7% 15.6% +11.5%
Imports Year on Year Imports Year on Year Chart 16.0% 20.0% +16.5%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -960.3bln JP -920.0bln JP -932.1bln JP
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.1% 0.1% 0.3%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -0.5% -0.7% -0.5%
Existing Home Sales Existing Home Sales Chart 5.48mln 5.30mln 5.29mln

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Jelf Group, Quindell Portfolio, Senior
Flag of the USA
AO Smith, Crown Castle International, Discover Financl, Gannett Co, Halliburton, Hexcel Corp, McDonalds (All Sessions), VF Corp, VM WARE

Tuesday 22 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Public Sector Net Borrowing   11.45bln GB 9.368bln GB
Public Sector Borrowing ex Financial Interventions Public Sector Borrowing ex Financial Interventions Chart 13.157bln GB 11.200bln GB 11.072bln GB
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 0.6% 0.3% 0.2%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 7.3% 7.3% 7.2%
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.2% 0.2% +0.1%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 169k 180k +148k

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Arm Holdings (All Sessions), B.P. Marsh, Cineworld Group, Dart Group, Development Securities, Epistem Holding, GKN, Petropavlovsk, Reckitt Benckiser Group, Sepura, Spirit Pub Company, PubMatic, Whitbread
Flag of the USA
AK Steel, C R Bard, CIT Group Inc, Coach, EMC Corp, Flagstar Bancorp, Forest Labs, Freeport-McMoRan, Harley-Davidson, Illinois Tool Wk, Juniper Networks, Kodiak Oil and Gas, Lexmark Intl, Lockheed Martin (All Sessions), Nu Skin Enterprises, Radioshack, Regions Financl, Reynolds Amrican, Rob Half Intl, Ryder System Inc, State Street Corp, Synovus Finan, Total System Services, Travelers Companies, Unisys Corp, United Technologies, Waters Corp, Whirl Pool Corp

Wednesday 23 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 2.4% 1.8% +2.2%
CPI Quarter on Quarter CPI Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.4% 0.8% +1.2%
MPC Vote For Rate Cut   0 0 0
MPC Vote For Rate Hike   0 0 0
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged   9 9 9
BoC Rate Decision   1.00% 1.00% 1.00%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
ASOS, British American Tobacco, De La Rue, Glaxosmithkline ADR, International Personal Finance, Laird, Oxford Metrics, Plexus Holdings, Premier Oil, Sports Direct International, UBC Media Group, Zotefoams
Flag of the USA
Airgas, Inc., Allegheny Tech, Amer Elec Pwr, APR Energy, Assurant, AT & T, Avalonbay Communities, Boeing (All Sessions), Bristol Myers Sq, Caterpillar , CMS Energy Corp, Commercial Metals, Covanta Holding, Dr Pepper Snapple Group,Inc., Equifax Inc, Evercore Partners Inc., Fusion-io Inc, Lorillard, Inc., Meritage Homes, Mine Safety Appliances, Norfolk Southern, Northrop Grumman (All Sessions), Prologis, Raymond James, SL Green Realty, Teradyne Inc, Terex Corp, Thermo Fisher Scientific (All Sessions), Torchmark Corp, US Airways, Varian Medical, Wellpoint, Wyndham Wrld

Thursday 24 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Confidence   101.1 101.1 97.3
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 358k 340k 350k
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -39.2bln $ -39.5bln $ -38.80bln $

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
3M (All Sessions), Alaska Airlines, Altria Group Inc, Autonation Inc, Ball Corp, Bemis Company, Boston Scientific (All Sessions), Brunswick Corp, Cameron International Corp, Chubb Corp, Cliffs Natural Resources, Coca Cola Ent, Colgate Palmoliv, DeVry Inc., Diamond Offshore, EQT Corporation, GE Aerospace (All Sessions), Fed Investors, Flowserve Corporation, Baillie Gifford Japan Trust, Franklin Res, GFI Group, Hershey Co, Janus Capital Gp, Manitowoc, Mckesson Corp, Mead Johnson, Meredith Corp, NCR Corporation, Noble Energy, Precision Cast, Principal Finl, Pulte Homes Inc, Rayonier Inc, Raytheon Co, Reliance Steel, Royal Caribbean Cruises (All Sessions), Southwest Airlines, Starwood Hotels, Under Armour Class C, USG Corp, Xcel Energy, Xerox, Zimmer Hldgs
Flag of Great Britain
Artilium, Avacta, Bloomsbury Publishing, Camellia, Caretech Holdings, Debenhams, Go-Ahead Group, Kazakhmys, Promethean World, Spirent Communications, St.James's Place, Sterling Energy, Sweett Group PLC, Unilever

Friday 25 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
CPI Overall Nationwide CPI Overall Nationwide Chart 0.9% +1.1%
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year Chart 0.8% 0.7% +0.7%
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Chart -0.30% 0.0%
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Chart -0.90% 0.2%
IFO Current Conditions IFO Current Conditions Chart 111.4 111.6 111.3
IFO Expectations IFO Expectations Chart 104.2 104.5 103.6
IFO Business Climate IFO Business Climate Chart 107.7 108.0 107.4
GDP Prelim Year on Year   1.3% 1.5% +1.5%
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.7% 0.8% +0.8%
Durable Goods   0.2% 2.0% +3.7%
Univ Michigan Sentiment Univ Michigan Sentiment Chart 75.2 75.0 73.2
Univ Michigan Expectation Univ Michigan Expectation Chart 63.9 62.5
Univ Michigan Conditions Univ Michigan Conditions Chart 92.8 89.9

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
AON Corp, Avery Dennison, DTE Energy, Eaton Vance, Legg Mason, Moody's, Newell Rubbermd, Ntl Oilwell Varc, Procter & Gamble (All Sessions), Rockwell Coll, Sherwin-Williams, Simon Prop Grp, United Parcel Service (All Sessions), Ventas, Weyerhaeuser Co
Flag of Great Britain
Blackrock Smaller Companies TST, Elementis, International Biotechnology Tst, SVG Capital, Vesuvius, Victoria Oil & Gas

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