Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 23/06/25

Monday 23 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Existing Home Sales Existing Home Sales Chart 4.00Mln 3.95Mln 4.03Mln

Tuesday 24 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
IFO Business Climate Expectations IFO Business Climate Expectations Chart 88.9 90.0 90.7
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart -0.1% 0.5% +0.6%
CPI Boc Core Month on Month CPI Boc Core Month on Month Chart 0.5% +0.6%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 1.7% 1.7% +1.7%
CPI BoC Core Year on Year CPI BoC Core Year on Year Chart 2.5% +2.5%
Current Account Balance Current Account Balance Chart -303.9Bln US -443.3Bln US -450.2Bln US
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 98.0 100.0 93.0

Wednesday 25 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 88 89 88
ZEW Investor Sentiment   -22.0 -2.1
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month New Home Sales-Units Month on Month Chart 0.743Mln 0.693Mln 0.623Mln
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   -11.473Mln -0.797Mln -5.836Mln

Thursday 26 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart -19.9 -19.3 -20.3
GDP Deflator GDP Deflator Chart 3.7% 3.7% 3.8%
Corporate Profits Corporate Profits Chart -3.6% -3.3%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 245k 245k 236k
Durable Goods   -6.3% 8.5% 16.4%
GDP Final GDP Final Chart -0.2% -0.2% -0.5%
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart -6.3% 0.1% 1.8%

Friday 27 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 3.3% 2.7% 2.2%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -4.3% -0.8%
Consumer Confidence   96.5 97.0 96.1
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 94.8 95.1 94.0
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -10.3 -9.9 -12.0
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 1.5 1.6 2.9
Business Climate Business Climate Chart -0.55 -0.78
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -15.3 -15.3 -15.3
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -2.2% -0.7%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 2.6% 1.7%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.8% 0.3% -0.4%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 2.1% 2.3% 2.3%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 2.5% 2.6% 2.7%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart 0.1% -0.3%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.0% -0.1%
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 2.7% 2.0%
Univ Michigan Conditions Univ Michigan Conditions Chart 63.7 64.8
Univ Michigan Expectation Univ Michigan Expectation Chart 58.4 58.1
Univ Michigan Sentiment Univ Michigan Sentiment Chart 60.5 60.5 60.7

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