Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 24/02/25


Monday 24 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
IFO Business Climate Expectations IFO Business Climate Expectations Chart 84.2 85.0 85.4
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 0.4% -0.3% -0.3%

Tuesday 25 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GDP Quarter on Quarter GDP Quarter on Quarter Chart -0.2% -0.2% -0.2%
GDP Year on Year GDP Year on Year Chart -0.4% -0.4% -0.4%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 104.1 102.5 98.3

Wednesday 26 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart -22.4 -21.4 -24.7
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 92 93 93
ZEW Investor Sentiment   17.7 3.4
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month New Home Sales-Units Month on Month Chart 0.698Mln 0.680Mln 0.657Mln
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   4.633Mln 2.605Mln -2.332Mln

Thursday 27 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 1.0% +0.7%
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.2% 6.2%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart 11k 15k
Consumer Confidence   98.2 98.4 98.8
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 6.6 6.8 6.2
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 95.2 96.0 96.3
Business Climate Business Climate Chart -0.94 -0.74
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -12.9 -12.0 -11.4
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -13.6 -13.6 -13.6
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 219k 221k 242k
Durable Goods   -2.2% 2.0% 3.1%
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart -5.5% -1.3% -4.6%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 3.7% 4.0% +3.9%
Industrial Production Prelim   -0.2% -1.2% -1.1%

Friday 28 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.1% 0.2% 0.4%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -1.6% 0.0% +0.2%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 4.1% 3.4% 3.9%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 1.8% +2.9%
GDP Detailed Quarter on Quarter   -0.1% -0.1% -0.1%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart 11k 15k 5k
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.2% 6.2% 6.2%
CPI Final Month on Month   -0.2% 0.4% 0.4%
GDP Quarter on Quarter GDP Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.3% +0.6%
GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised Chart 1.0% 1.8% +2.6%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 2.8% 2.6% 2.6%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.3% 0.3%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart 0.4% -0.5%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart -0.2% 0.3% +0.2%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.3% 0.9%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 2.6% 2.5% 2.5%
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 2.8% 2.5%

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