Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 24/03/25


Tuesday 25 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
IFO Business Climate Expectations IFO Business Climate Expectations Chart 85.4 87.5 87.7
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 98.3 94.0 92.9
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month New Home Sales-Units Month on Month Chart 0.657Mln 0.679Mln 0.676Mln

Wednesday 26 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 3.0% 2.9% +2.8%
RPI Year on Year RPI Year on Year Chart 3.6% 3.6% 3.4%
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart -0.1% 0.5% +0.4%
RPI Month on Month RPI Month on Month Chart -0.1% 0.8% 0.6%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 93 94 92
ZEW Investor Sentiment   3.4 -10.7
Durable Goods   3.2% -1.0% 0.9%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   1.745Mln -0.956Mln
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   1.745Mln -0.956Mln -3.341Mln

Thursday 27 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GDP Final GDP Final Chart 2.3% 2.3% 2.4%
GDP Deflator GDP Deflator Chart 2.4% 2.4% 2.3%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 223k 225k 224k
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart -4.6% 1.0% 2.0%

Friday 28 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Trade Balance Non-EU Trade Balance Non-EU Chart -6.098Bln GB -7.074Bln GB
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 1.7% -0.4% 1.0%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -17.447Bln GB -16.800Bln GB -17.849Bln GB
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 1.0% 0.5% 2.2%
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart -24.7 -22.7 -24.5
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Current Account Current Account Chart -18.099Bln GB -23.445Bln GB -21.028Bln GB
GDP Final Year on Year   1.4% 1.4% 1.5%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.7% -0.8%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart 5k 10k
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.2% 6.2%
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.2% 6.2% 6.3%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart 5k 10k 26k
Consumer Confidence   98.8 98.8 95.0
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -11.4 -10.5 -10.6
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 96.3 97.0 95.2
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 6.2 6.7 2.4
Business Climate Business Climate Chart -0.74 -0.73
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -14.5 -14.5 -14.5
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 4.4% 6.2%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 1.6% 0.7%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 2.6% 2.7% 2.8%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.3% 0.4%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart -0.5% 0.1%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.3% 0.4%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.9% 0.4% 0.8%
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 2.5% 3.0%
Univ Michigan Conditions Univ Michigan Conditions Chart 63.5 63.8
Univ Michigan Expectation Univ Michigan Expectation Chart 54.2 52.6
Univ Michigan Sentiment Univ Michigan Sentiment Chart 57.9 57.9 57.0

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