Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 25/08/25
Monday 25 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | 
|
IFO Business Climate Expectations |
|
90.7 | 90.3 | 91.6 |
| 15:00 | 
|
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month |
|
0.627Mln | 0.630Mln | 0.652Mln |
Tuesday 26 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
89 | 89 | 87 |
| 13:30 |
|
Durable Goods | -9.4% | -4.0% | -2.8% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
97.2 | 96.2 | 97.4 |
Wednesday 27 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-21.5 | -22.0 | -23.6 |
| 09:00 | 
|
ZEW Investor Sentiment | 2.4 | -53.8 | ||
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -6.014Mln | -1.863Mln | -2.392Mln |
Thursday 28 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence | 97.2 | 96.6 | 96.2 | |
| 10:00 | 
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.72 | -0.72 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-10.4 | -10.0 | -10.3 |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
4.1 | 3.9 | 3.6 |
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-15.5 | -15.5 | -15.5 |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
95.8 | 96.0 | 95.2 |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
235k | 230k | 229k |
| 15:00 |
|
Pending Home Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.8% | -0.1% | -0.4% |
Friday 29 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| 00:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | 2.1% | -1.0% | -1.6% | |
| 00:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
2.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| 06:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
33.7 | 34.9 | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
1.0% | -0.4% | -1.5% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
4.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| 07:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 07:45 |
|
GDP Detailed Quarter on Quarter | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
2k | 10k | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Final Year on Year | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter |
|
-0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% |
| 13:30 | 
|
GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised |
|
2.2% | -0.6% | -1.6% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.1% | -0.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.5% | -0.4% | |
| 14:00 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
3.4% | 1.9% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Expectation |
|
57.2 | 55.9 | |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Sentiment |
|
58.6 | 58.6 | 58.2 |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Conditions |
|
60.9 | 61.7 |
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