Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 25/10/21


Monday 25 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
IFO Business Climate Expectations IFO Business Climate Expectations Chart 97.3 96.4 95.4

Tuesday 26 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 109.3 108.3 113.8
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month New Home Sales-Units Month on Month Chart 0.740Mln 0.760Mln 0.800Mln

Wednesday 27 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
CPI Quarter on Quarter CPI Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 3.8% 3.1% 3.0%
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart 0.3 -0.5 0.9
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 1.0% 1.7%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 102 101 99
ZEW Investor Sentiment   25.7 15.6
Durable Goods   1.8% -1.1% -0.4%
BoC Rate Decision   0.25% 0.25% 0.25%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   -0.431Mln 1.914Mln 4.267Mln

Thursday 28 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -3.2% -2.3% -0.6%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart -30k -20k -39k
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 5.5% 5.4% 5.4%
Consumer Confidence   119.6 118.5 118.4
Business Climate Business Climate Chart 1.72 1.76
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart 14.1 14.2
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 117.8 118.6
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -4.8 -4.8
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 15.1 18.2
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.5% 1.6%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 11.6% 13.3%
ECB Rate Decision ECB Rate Decision Chart 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
CPI Final Month on Month   0.0% 0.5% 0.5%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 290k 290k 281k
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart 8.1% 0.0% -2.3%

Friday 29 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 2.8% 2.8% 2.8%
Industrial Production Prelim   -3.6% -3.2% -5.4%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 2.2% 2.9%
PPI Quarter on Quarter PPI Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.7% 1.1%
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart -1.7% 0.2% 1.3%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 37.8 39.2
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter Chart 1.1% 2.1% 3.0%
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter Chart 1.6% 2.2% 1.8%
GDP Flash Estimate Year on Year GDP Flash Estimate Year on Year Chart 9.8% 2.4% 2.5%
GDP Flash Estimate Year on Year GDP Flash Estimate Year on Year Chart 9.8% 2.4% 2.5%
GDP Prelim Year on Year GDP Prelim Year on Year Chart 17.3% 3.0% 3.8%
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter Chart 1.6% 2.2% 1.8%
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter   2.7% 2.0% 2.6%
Money Supply M4   0.5% 0.6%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart -0.1% 0.7% 0.4%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.2% -0.2% -1.0%
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart 14.3% 14.9%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart -0.3% 1.0%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 3.6% 3.7% 3.6%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.3%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.3%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 4.3% 4.4%
Univ Michigan Sentiment Univ Michigan Sentiment Chart 71.4 71.4 71.7
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 2.8% 5.1%

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