Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 26/04/21


Monday 26 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Durable Goods   -1.2% 2.3% 0.5%

Tuesday 27 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Confidence   100.9 102.0 102.3
Business Climate Business Climate Chart 0.30
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 109.7 113.0 121.7

Wednesday 28 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -1.5% 4.7% +5.2%
CPI Quarter on Quarter CPI Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.9% 0.9% +0.6%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 0.9% 1.4% +1.1%
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart -6.2 -3.5 -8.8
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 94 93 94
ZEW Investor Sentiment   66.7 68.3
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -1.1% 4.0% 4.8%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   0.594Mln 0.659Mln 0.090Mln
FOMC Rate Decision   0.125% 0.125% 0.000 - 0.250%

Thursday 29 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.0% 6.0% 6.0%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart -8k -10k 9k
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart -9.3 -8.7 2.1
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart 2.0 4.0 10.7
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -8.1 -8.1 -8.1
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.5% 0.9%
Business Climate Business Climate Chart 0.30 1.13
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 0.7% 2.7%
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 101.0 102.2 110.3
CPI Final Month on Month   0.5% 0.5% 0.7%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 547k 540k 553k
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart -10.6% 5.0% +1.9%

Friday 30 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 2.9% 2.9% 2.6%
Industrial Production Prelim   -1.3% -2.0% 2.2%
PMI Manufacturing   53.3 53.6
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 51.9 51.7 51.1
PPI Quarter on Quarter PPI Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.5% +0.4%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -0.1% +0.2%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 36.1 34.7
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter Chart -1.4% 0.1% 0.4%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 5.7% 5.0% 7.1%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart -0.2% 0.5% 2.1%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.8% 1.0%
Unemployment Rate   10.2% 10.3% 10.1%
GDP Prelim Year on Year GDP Prelim Year on Year Chart -6.6% -1.6% -1.4%
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter   -1.9% -0.5% -0.4%
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.3% -1.5% -1.7%
GDP Flash Estimate Year on Year GDP Flash Estimate Year on Year Chart -2.7% -3.6% -3.3%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 8.3% 8.3% 8.1%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart 2.6% 1.6%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.6% 2.3%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart -1.2% 3.6%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart -7.1% 20.3% +21.1%
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart 7.1% 10.0%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.3% 0.4%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.5%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart 0.7% 0.5% 0.4%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.4% 1.8% 1.8%
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 1.8% 2.0%

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