Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 26/08/24
Monday 26 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | 
|
IFO Business Climate Expectations |
|
86.9 | 86.5 | 86.8 |
| 13:30 | 
|
Durable Goods | -6.7% | 5.7% | 9.9% |
Tuesday 27 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-18.4 | -18.2 | -22.0 |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Year on Year |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Quarter on Quarter |
|
-0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
| 15:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
100.3 | 100.7 | 103.3 |
Wednesday 28 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
91 | 92 | 92 |
| 09:00 | 
|
ZEW Investor Sentiment | 9.4 | -3.4 | ||
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -4.649Mln | -2.265Mln | -0.846Mln |
Thursday 29 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
36.7 | 36.7 | |
| 10:00 | 
|
Services Sentiment |
|
4.8 | 5.2 | 6.3 |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-10.5 | -10.6 | -9.7 |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
95.8 | 95.8 | 96.6 |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.61 | -0.62 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-13.4 | -13.4 | -13.5 |
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.3% | 0.1% | -0.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
232k | 232k | 231k |
| 15:00 |
|
Pending Home Sales Month on Month |
|
4.8% | 0.4% | -5.5% |
Friday 30 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% |
| 00:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | -4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | |
| 00:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
3.7% | 2.9% | +2.6% |
| 02:30 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 07:00 | 
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | -0.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.2% | 0.1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 07:45 |
|
GDP Detailed Quarter on Quarter | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 07:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | +0.2% | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
18k | 16k | 2k |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| 09:00 | 
|
Unemployment Rate | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | |
| 09:30 |
|
Money Supply M4 | 0.5% | 0.3% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% |
| 11:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence | 98.9 | 99.2 | 96.1 | |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| 13:30 | 
|
GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised |
|
1.7% | 1.6% | +2.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.4% | +0.5% | |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 14:00 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
1.7% | 1.7% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Expectation |
|
72.1 | 72.1 | |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Sentiment |
|
67.8 | 68.0 | 67.9 |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Conditions |
|
60.9 | 61.3 |
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