Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 26/01/26
Monday 26 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | 
|
IFO Business Climate Expectations |
|
89.7 | 90.3 | 89.5 |
| 13:30 | 
|
Durable Goods | -2.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% |
Tuesday 27 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
90 | 90 | 90 |
| 15:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
89.1 | 90.9 | 84.5 |
Wednesday 28 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| 07:00 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-26.9 | -26.0 | -24.1 |
| 09:00 | 
|
ZEW Investor Sentiment | 6.2 | -4.7 | ||
| 09:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence | 96.6 | 97.0 | 96.8 | |
| 14:45 | 
|
BoC Rate Decision | 2.25% | 2.25% | ||
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 3.602Mln | 1.848Mln | -2.295Mln | |
| 19:00 |
|
FOMC Rate Decision | 3.625% | 3.625% | 3.500 - 3.750% |
Thursday 29 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
37.2 | 37.9 | |
| 10:00 | 
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-9.0 | -8.1 | -6.8 |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
5.6 | 6.0 | 7.2 |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.56 | -0.41 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
96.7 | 97.0 | 99.4 |
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-12.4 | -12.4 | -12.4 |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-29.4Bln US | -40.5Bln US | -56.8Bln US |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-0.58Bln CA | ||
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% |
| 23:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| 23:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.0% | 0.7% | -0.9% |
| 23:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | -2.7% | -0.4% | -0.1% |
Friday 30 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
PPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
1.0% | 0.8% | |
| 00:30 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
3.5% | 3.5% | |
| 06:30 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 07:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
1.1% | 0.2% | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
3k | 4k | 0k |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Year on Year |
|
0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Flash Estimate Year on Year |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| 09:30 | 
|
Money Supply M4 | 0.8% | 0.3% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | |
| 11:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
1.0% | -0.7% | |
| 11:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-0.2% | -1.4% | |
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year |
|
3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI excl Food and Energy MM |
|
0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% |
| 13:30 |
|
PPI Final Demand Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
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