Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 26/05/25

Monday 26 May

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 93.6 94.0
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 1.4 1.0
Business Climate Business Climate Chart -0.67
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -15.2 -15.2
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -11.2 -10.5

Tuesday 27 May

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart -20.6 -19.8 -19.9
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 1.4 1.0 1.5
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -11.2 -10.5 -10.3
Business Climate Business Climate Chart -0.67 -0.55
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -15.2 -15.2 -15.2
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 93.6 94.0 94.8
Durable Goods   9.2% -7.8% -6.3%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 86.0 87.0 98.0

Wednesday 28 May

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
RBNZ Rate Decision RBNZ Rate Decision Chart 3.50% 3.25% 3.25%
GDP Detailed Quarter on Quarter   0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.6% -4.3%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart 4k 10k 34k
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.3% 6.3% 6.3%
ZEW Investor Sentiment   -51.6 -22.0

Thursday 29 May

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 31.2 32.8
Consumer Confidence   92.7 93.0 96.5
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 227k 230k 240k
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart 6.1% -1.0% -6.3%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   1.328Mln 0.118Mln -2.795Mln

Friday 30 May

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 3.1% 3.1% 3.3%
Industrial Production Prelim   0.2% -1.4% -0.9%
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 0.3% -0.1%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.2% 0.2% -1.1%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 2.2% 1.8% 2.3%
GDP Final Year on Year   0.6% 0.6% 0.7%
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 3.9% 2.6%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -2.4% -2.2%
CPI Final Month on Month   0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.5% 0.3% 0.8%
GDP Quarter on Quarter GDP Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.6% 0.5%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 2.6% 2.5% 2.5%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised Chart 2.6% 1.7% 2.2%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 2.3% 2.2% 2.1%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart 0.7% 0.1%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart -0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 1.8% 2.7%
Univ Michigan Conditions Univ Michigan Conditions Chart 57.6 58.9
Univ Michigan Expectation Univ Michigan Expectation Chart 46.5 47.9
Univ Michigan Sentiment Univ Michigan Sentiment Chart 50.8 51.0 52.2

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