Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 26/10/15

Monday 26 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
IFO Expectations IFO Expectations Chart 103.3 102.5 103.8
IFO Business Climate IFO Business Climate Chart 108.5 107.9 108.2
IFO Current Conditions IFO Current Conditions Chart 114.0 113.5 112.6
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month New Home Sales-Units Month on Month Chart 0.552mln 0.550mln 0.468mln

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Alent
Flag of the USA
Artisan Partners, Avalonbay Communities, Edwards Lifesciences, Equity Residential, Exterran Holding, First Data Corp, Hartford Finl, Lab Crp Of Amer, Pepco Holdings, Plum Creek Timb, Roper Industries, Torchmark Corp, Xerox

Tuesday 27 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.7% 0.6% +0.5%
GDP Prelim Year on Year   2.4% 2.4% +2.3%
Durable Goods   -2.3% -1.2% -1.2%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 103.0 103.0 97.6
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 0.8% 0.4% -0.2%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
BP, International Personal Finance, Smith (DS)
Flag of the USA
Airgas, Inc., Ametek Inc, Anixter International, B&G Foods, Baxter Intl Inc, Bristol Myers Sq, CB Richard Ellis, Coach, Compass Minerals, Consol Energy, Owens Corning, Covanta Holding, Cummins Inc, Develop Diver, Edison Intl, EXCO Resources, Flagstar Bancorp, Baillie Gifford Japan Trust, Hatteras Financial Corp, HCA Inc, Intrepid Potash, KKR & Co. L.P., Lexmark Intl, Marsh&McLennan, Masco Corp, Merck & Co (All Sessions), MetroPCS Comm, MSC Industrial Direct, NCR Corporation, Peabody Energy, Pfizer Inc (All Sessions), Ramco-Gershenson, Reynolds Amrican, Sealed Air Cp, Select Income REIT, Simon Prop Grp, Spirit AeroSystems, Inc, Teradyne Inc, Textron Inc, Total System Services, Twitter (All Sessions), US Silica Holdings Inc, Waste Managemnt, Waters Corp, Wyndham Wrld

Wednesday 28 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 1.5% 1.7% +1.5%
CPI Quarter on Quarter CPI Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.7% 0.6% +0.5%
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart 9.6 9.4 9.4
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 97 97 96
Consumer Confidence   112.7 112.1 116.9
FOMC Rate Decision   0.125% 0.125% 0-0.25%
Industrial Production Prelim   -1.2% -0.5% +1.0%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
British American Tobacco, Glaxosmithkline ADR, Lloyds Banking Group, Meggitt, Noble Corporation , Redefine International, Standard Life, TeleCity Group
Flag of the USA
AGCO Corp, Astoria Financial, Autonation Inc, Boston Scientific (All Sessions), CBL & Associates Properties, Commercial Metals, FMC Corporation, General Dynamics, GFI Group, Hanesbrands, Hershey Co, Hess Corp, Hilton Worldwide, Huntsman, Intercontinental Exchange, Invensense, Kirby Corp, Lincoln Natl, Manitowoc, Newmont Mining, NextEra Energy (All Sessions), Northrop Grumman (All Sessions), Ntl Oilwell Varc, Occidental Petroleum, Ocwen Financial, PG&E Corp, Public Storage, QEP Resources, Qwest Communications, Range Resources Corp, Norfolk Southern, Speedway Motor, Starwood Hotels, Tesoro Corp, Unum Group, Valero Energy, Williams Comps, World Fuel, Yelp Inc

Thursday 29 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.5% 0.5% +0.6%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 3.8% 3.8% +3.9%
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.4% 6.4% 6.4%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart 2k -4k -5k
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 12.4 12.0 11.9
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -7.1 -7.7 -7.7
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -2.2 -2.7 -2.0
Business Climate Business Climate Chart 0.34 0.32 0.44
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 105.6 105.2 105.9
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart -0.4% -0.4%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart -0.3% -0.1% -0.3%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 259k 263k 260k
CPI Final Month on Month   -0.2% -0.1% 0.0%
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart -1.4% 1.0% -2.3%
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year Chart -0.1% -0.2% -0.1%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 3.4% 3.4% 3.4%
CPI Overall Nationwide CPI Overall Nationwide Chart 0.2% 0%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Aviva, BT Group, Henderson Group, Millennium & Copthorne Hotels, Smith & Nephew
Flag of the USA
Aetna Inc, Air Prods & Chem, Altria Group Inc, American Tower Corp, Amerisourcebergn, Avery Dennison, Ball Corp, Boston Ppty, Brunswick Corp, Bunge, Calix Inc, Care.com, Cliffs Natural Resources, Coca Cola Ent, Conocophillips (All Sessions), CVR Energy, Digital Realty Trust, Inc., DineEquity, Eastman Chem, Enterprise Products Partners, Firstenergy, Flowserve Corporation, Fluor Corp, Fortress Invest, Gannett Co, Genworth Finl, Gov Prop Income Trust, Harman Intl Inds, Host Hotels & Resorts, Imperva, Invesco ADR, Johnson Controls, L-3 Comms Hldgs, Lending Club Corp, Linkedin, Marathon Petroleum, Mastercard (All Sessions), Mckesson Corp, Meritage Homes, MGM Mirage, Monster Worldwide, Nu Skin Enterprises, NY Times, Pinnacle Foods, Pitney Bowes Inc, PPL Corp, Praxair Inc, Republic Services, Rite Aid Corporation, Ruckus Wireless, Inc., Scana Corporation, Sherwin-Williams, Sunstone HTL, The Boston Beer Co., The Empire District Electric Co, Time Warner Cable, Ultra Petroleum Corp, Western Union, World Wrestling Ent., Xcel Energy, Xylem

Friday 30 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart 3 4 +2
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 1.1% +1.7%
PPI Quarter on Quarter PPI Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.3% +0.9%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 2.5% 4.2% 3.4%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.9% 0.1%
Unemployment Rate   11.9% 11.9% 11.8%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 11.0% 11.0% 10.8%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -2.9% -3.0%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.7% -0.2%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 0.3% +0.2%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.0% -0.1%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.1% +0.1%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.2% +0.1%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.2% +0.1%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart 0.4% +0.2%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.3% +1.3%
Chicago PMI Chicago PMI Chart 48.7 49.0 56.2
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 1.7% 1.7%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
AON Corp, BG Group, Moneysupermarket.com Group, Pets At Home
Flag of the USA
Chevron (All Sessions), CVS Caremark Crp, Eaton Vance, Exelon Corp, Exxon Mobil (All Sessions), Health Care REIT, Inc., Iron Mountain Incorporated, ITT Corp, Legg Mason, Moody's, Newell Rubbermd, Phillips 66, Pinnacl West Cap, Public Service Enterprise, Rockwell Coll, Stillwater Mining Company, Weyerhaeuser Co

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