Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 27/04/26

Monday 27 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart -28.1 -29.3 -33.3
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart -28.0 -29.3 -33.3

Tuesday 28 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 2.6% 2.6% 2.7%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -2.7% 4.2%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.4% 4.4%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 91.8 89.0 92.8

Wednesday 29 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
CPI Quarter on Quarter CPI Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.6% 1.4% +1.4%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 3.6% 4.2% +4.1%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 3.6% 4.2% +4.1%
CPI Quarter on Quarter CPI Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.6% 1.4% +1.4%
ZEW Investor Sentiment   -35.0 -30.3
Consumer Confidence   92.6 91.2 90.8
Consumer Confidence   92.6 91.2 90.8
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 96.6 95.2 93.0
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 4.9 3.5 0.9
Business Climate Business Climate Chart -0.27 -0.28
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 96.6 95.2 93.0
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -7.0 -7.2 -7.7
Business Climate Business Climate Chart -0.27 -0.28
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 4.9 3.5 0.9
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -20.6 -20.6 -20.6
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -20.6 -20.6 -20.6
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -7.0 -7.2 -7.7
CPI Final Month on Month   1.1% 0.7% 0.60%
CPI Final Month on Month   1.1% 0.7% 0.60%
Durable Goods   -1.3% 0.5% 0.8%
Durable Goods   -1.3% 0.5% 0.8%
Housing Starts Housing Starts Chart 1.356Mln 1.400Mln 1.502Mln
BoC Rate Decision   2.25% 2.25%
BoC Rate Decision   2.25% 2.25%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   1.925Mln -0.231Mln -6.234Mln
FOMC Rate Decision   3.625% 3.625% 3.50 - 3.75%
FOMC Rate Decision   3.625% 3.625% 3.50 - 3.75%

Thursday 30 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Prelim   -2.0% 1.1% -0.5%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -0.2% 0.8% +1.7%
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 50.4 50.1 50.3
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 33.3 32.2
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 33.3 32.2
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 0.7% 0.5% -2.0%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.6% -0.1% -2.0%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.2% +2.0%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart 0k 4k 20k
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.3% 6.3% 6.4%
GDP Flash Estimate Year on Year GDP Flash Estimate Year on Year Chart 0.6% 0.3% 0.5%
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter   0.3% 0.1% 0.2%
GDP Prelim Year on Year GDP Prelim Year on Year Chart 0.8% 0.6% 0.7%
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
Unemployment Rate   5.3% 5.3% 5.2%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 6.2% 6.2% 6.2%
MPC Vote For Rate Cut   0 0 0
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged   9 8 8
BoE Rate Decision BoE Rate Decision Chart 3.75% 3.75% 3.75%
MPC Vote For Rate Hike   0 1 1
BoE Rate Decision BoE Rate Decision Chart 3.75% 3.75% 3.75%
ECB Rate Decision ECB Rate Decision Chart 2.15% 2.15% 2.15%
ECB Rate Decision ECB Rate Decision Chart 2.15% 2.15% 2.15%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.2% +0.2%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 3.0% 3.2% 3.2%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.3% 0.3%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 2.8% 3.5% 3.5%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.2%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart -0.1% 0.3% 0.6%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.7% 0.7%
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 1.8% 2.9%

Friday 01 May

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Manufacturing   54.9 55.1
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 3.5% +3.0%
PPI Quarter on Quarter PPI Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.8% +0.4%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.9% -0.3% 0.4%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 2.2% 2.2% 3.0%
PMI Manufacturing   53.6 53.6 53.7
Money Supply M4   0.6% 0.8%
PMI Manufacturing   50.0 53.3
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 52.7 53.0 52.7

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