Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 27/02/17


Monday 27 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -4.9 -6.2 -6.2
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 12.9 13.5 13.8
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart 0.8 1.2 1.3
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 107.9 108.0 108.0
Business Climate Business Climate Chart 0.77 0.79 0.82
Durable Goods   -0.5% 1.7%
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart 1.6% 0.8%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 0.6% 0.9%
Industrial Production Prelim   0.7% 0.3%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Ascential, Bunzl
Flag of the USA
American Tower Corp, Apollo Commercial Real Estate, Delek, Emerge Energy Services, EOG Resources, Gannett Co, LSB Industries Inc, ONEOK, RSP Permian, Silver Bay Realty Trust, Sotheby's, Tenet Healthcare, The AES Corp, Western Refining, Workday, Inc

Tuesday 28 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart -5 -6
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.9%
GDP Detailed Quarter on Quarter   0.4% 0.40%
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart 2.2%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart 0.4%
Chicago PMI Chicago PMI Chart 50.3 53.0
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 111.8 111.0

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Ensco Intl, Interserve, Jardine Lloyd Thompson Group, Laird, Meggitt, Novae Group, Ricardo

Wednesday 01 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart -0.5% 0.7% +1.1%
GDP Final Year on Year GDP Final Year on Year Chart 1.8% 1.9% +2.4%
PMI Manufacturing   53.5 53.3
PMI Manufacturing   53.5 53.3
GDP Final Year on Year GDP Final Year on Year Chart 1.8% 1.9% +2.4%
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart -0.5% 0.7% +1.1%
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 51.3 51.1 51.6
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 51.3 51.1 51.6
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 4.3% 4.0% +4.5%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.2% 0.2% +0.6%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 4.3% 4.0% +4.5%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.2% 0.2% +0.6%
PMI Manufacturing   53.0 53.5 55.0
PMI Manufacturing   53.0 53.5 55.0
PMI Manufacturing   52.3 52.3 52.2
PMI Manufacturing   52.3 52.3 52.2
PMI Manufacturing   57.0 57.0 56.8
PMI Manufacturing   57.0 57.0 56.8
PMI Manufacturing   55.5 55.5 55.4
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 5.9% 5.9% 5.9%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart -26k -10k -14k
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 5.9% 5.9% 5.9%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart -26k -10k -14k
PMI Manufacturing   55.5 55.5 55.4
PMI Manufacturing   55.9 55.6 54.6
PMI Manufacturing   55.9 55.6 54.6
CPI Final Month on Month   -0.6% 0.6%
CPI Final Month on Month   -0.6% 0.6% 0.6%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart 0.3%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.3%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.2%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.7%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.2%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.6%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart 0.3% -0.3%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.3% +0.4%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.2% +0.3%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.7% +1.7%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.2% +0.4%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.6% +1.9%
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 1.8%
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 1.8% 2.4%
PMI Manufacturing   53.5
PMI Manufacturing   53.5 54.7
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 56.0 56.0
BoC Rate Decision   0.50% 0.50%
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 56.0 56.0 57.7
BoC Rate Decision   0.50% 0.50% 0.5%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
BBA Aviation, Carillion, Croma Security, Elementis, Empresaria, International Personal Finance, Starvest

Thursday 02 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Exports Exports Chart 5.0%
Imports Imports Chart 1.0%
Trade Balance Goods & Services Trade Balance Goods & Services Chart 3511mln AU 3800mln AU
Exports Exports Chart 5.0% -3%
Imports Imports Chart 1.0% +4%
Trade Balance Goods & Services Trade Balance Goods & Services Chart 3511mln AU 3800mln AU +1302mln AU
Unemployment Rate   12.0% 12.0% 11.9%
Unemployment Rate   12.0% 12.0%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 9.6% 9.6% 9.6%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 1.6% 3.2% 3.5%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.7% 0.6%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 1.6% 3.2%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 9.6% 9.6%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.7% 0.6% 0.7%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 244k 243k
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.3%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 244k 243k 223k
GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised Chart 3.5% 2.0%
GDP Quarter on Quarter GDP Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.9%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.3% +0.3%
GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised Chart 3.5% 2.0% +2.6%
GDP Quarter on Quarter GDP Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.9% +0.6%
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year Chart -0.2% 0.0% +0.1%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 3.1% 3.0% 3.0%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 3.1% 3.0%
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year Chart -0.2% 0.0%
CPI Overall Nationwide CPI Overall Nationwide Chart 0.3%
CPI Overall Nationwide CPI Overall Nationwide Chart 0.3% +0.4%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Aldermore, Arrow Global, Capita, Convatec, Hastings, IndigoVision Group, Jimmy Choo, Melrose Industries, Molins, Crest Nicholson, RPS Group, Spire Healthcare, Spirent Communications, Sportech
Flag of the USA
Aberc Fitch A, Barnes & Noble Education, Inc, Coopers Cos Inc, Goodrich Petroleum Corp., Guidewire Software, Joy Global Inc, The St Joe Company

Friday 03 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 43.2 43.1
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 43.2
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.9% 0.2% -0.8%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.9% 0.2%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -1.1%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -1.1% 2.3%
PMI Services   52.4 52.9 54.1
PMI Services   52.4 52.9
PMI Services   56.7 56.7 56.4
PMI Services   56.7 56.7
PMI Services   54.4 54.4 54.4
PMI Services   54.4 54.4
PMI Composite   56.0 56.0 56.0
PMI Services   55.6 55.6 55.5
GDP Final Year on Year   1.1% 1.1% 1.0%
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
GDP Final Year on Year   1.1% 1.1%
PMI Services   55.6 55.6
PMI Composite   56.0 56.0
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.2% 0.2%
PMI Services   54.5 54.1 53.3
PMI Services   54.5 54.1
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.3% 0.4% -0.1%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 1.1% 1.6% 1.2%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.3% 0.4%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 1.1% 1.6%
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 56.5 56.5 57.6
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 60.3 60.0 63.6
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 54.7 55.2
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 58.6 61.2
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 59.0
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 56.5 56.5
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 60.3 60.0
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 54.7
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 58.6
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 59.0 57.7

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Harvey Nash Group, London Stock Exchange Group, New Star Investment Trust, Non-Standard Finance, Sula Iron
Flag of the USA
Big Lots Inc, The Progressive
Flag of the USA
Big Lots Inc, The Progressive
Flag of Great Britain
Harvey Nash Group, London Stock Exchange Group, New Star Investment Trust, Non-Standard Finance, Sula Iron

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