Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 27/06/22


Monday 27 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Durable Goods   0.5% 0.1% 0.7%
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart -3.9% -3.7% +0.7%

Tuesday 28 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart -26.0 -27.6 -27.4
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 86 84 82
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 106.4 100.4 98.7

Wednesday 29 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 2.9% 3.3% +3.6%
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 0.9% 0.4% +0.9%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 34.1 32.1
ZEW Investor Sentiment   -52.6 -72.7
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 14.0 12.5 +14.8
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 105.0 103.0 104.0
Business Climate Business Climate Chart 1.26 1.47
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -23.6 -23.6 -23.6
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart 6.3 4.6 +7.4
CPI Final Month on Month   0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
GDP Deflator GDP Deflator Chart 8.1% 8.1% 8.3%
Corporate Profits Corporate Profits Chart -4.3% -4.9%
GDP Final GDP Final Chart -1.5% -1.5% -1.6%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   -0.386Mln -0.564Mln -2.762Mln

Thursday 30 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Prelim   -1.5% -0.3% -7.2%
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 49.6 50.5 50.2
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.9% 0.5% 0.3%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 11.2% 10.8% 10.7%
GDP Final Year on Year   8.7% 8.7% 8.7%
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
Current Account Current Account Chart -7.300Bln GB -39.800Bln GB -51.7Bln GB
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -0.4% -2.0% -3.6%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -5.4% 0.5% +0.6%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.0% -0.1%
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 5.0% 5.0% 5.3%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart -4k -6k 133k
Unemployment Rate   8.4% 8.4% 8.1%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 6.8% 6.8% 6.6%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 229k 228k 231k
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 6.3% 6.3%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart 0.7% -0.4%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 4.9% 4.8% 4.7%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.6%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.5% 0.5%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart 0.7% 0.3% +0.3%

Friday 01 July

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 2.5% 2.5% 2.6%
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index Tankan Big Manufacturers Index Chart 14 13 9
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index Chart 9 14 13
PMI Manufacturing   52.7 52.7
PMI Manufacturing   51.9 50.5 50.9
PMI Manufacturing   51.0 51.0 51.4
PMI Manufacturing   52.0 52.0 52.0
PMI Manufacturing   52.0 52.0 52.1
Money Supply M4   0.0% 0.5%
PMI Manufacturing   53.4 53.4 52.8
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 56.1 54.9 53.0

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