Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 27/03/23
Monday 27 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | 
|
IFO Business Climate Expectations |
|
88.5 | 88.3 | 91.2 |
Tuesday 28 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
1.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| 09:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence | 104.0 | 104.0 | 105.1 | |
| 15:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
102.9 | 101.0 | 104.2 |
Wednesday 29 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-30.5 | -29.2 | -29.5 |
| 07:45 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
82 | 81 | 81 |
| 09:00 | 
|
ZEW Investor Sentiment | -12.3 | -41.3 | ||
| 09:30 | 
|
Money Supply M4 | 1.3% | -0.4% | ||
| 15:00 |
|
Pending Home Sales Month on Month |
|
8.1% | -2.3% | 0.8% |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 1.117Mln | 0.092Mln | -7.489Mln |
Thursday 30 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | |
| 10:00 | 
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
0.5 | 0.2 | -0.2 |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
0.72 | 0.70 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-19.2 | -19.2 | -19.2 |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
99.7 | 99.8 | 99.3 |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
9.5 | 10.3 | 9.4 |
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
191k | 196k | 198k |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Deflator |
|
3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Final |
|
2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
Friday 31 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% |
| 00:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% |
| 00:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | -5.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | |
| 02:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
52.6 | 51.5 | 51.9 |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.5% | -0.3% | -0.8% |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
Current Account |
|
-19.402Bln GB | -17.600Bln GB | -2.483Bln GB |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
-1.1% | -2.2% | -3.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Final Year on Year | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-6.9% | -7.1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | 0.5% | -1.3% |
| 07:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
2.7% | -0.9% | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
2k | 0k | 16k |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| 13:30 | 
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
5.4% | 5.0% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
1.1% | -0.1% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Conditions |
|
66.4 | 66.3 | |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Expectation |
|
61.5 | 59.2 | |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Sentiment |
|
63.4 | 63.2 | 62.0 |
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