Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 27/10/14

Monday 27 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
IFO Business Climate IFO Business Climate Chart 104.7 104.3 103.2
IFO Current Conditions IFO Current Conditions Chart 110.5 110.0 108.4
IFO Expectations IFO Expectations Chart 99.3 98.9 98.3
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart -1.0% 0.5% +0.3%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 1.2% 0.6% +2.3%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Renishaw
Flag of the USA
Allergan Inc, APR Energy, Artisan Partners, Avalonbay Communities, Cliffs Natural Resources, Compass Minerals, Develop Diver, Ferro Corp, Franklin Res, Gen Growth Prop, Huntsman, Manitowoc, Merck & Co (All Sessions), MetroPCS Comm, Omega Healthcare Investors, Plum Creek Timb, Roper Industries, Select Income REIT, Twitter (All Sessions)

Tuesday 28 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Durable Goods   -18.4% 0.5% -1.3%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 86.0 87.0 94.5
Industrial Production Prelim   -1.9% 2.2% +2.7%

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Aetna Inc, AGCO Corp, American Financial, Ameriprise Fincl, Ameritrade Holdings, Anadarko, Anixter International, Arch Coal, Autonation Inc, Boston Ppty, CIT Group Inc, Coach, Consol Energy, Owens Corning, Cummins Inc, Digital Realty Trust, Inc., DineEquity, Dun and Bradstreet Corporation, Ecolab Inc, Edison Intl, Entertainment Prop Tr, EXCO Resources, Freeport-McMoRan, GFI Group, Harris Corporation, Hatteras Financial Corp, HCA Inc, HCC Ins Hldgs, Invensense, Kimco Realty Cp, Lab Crp Of Amer, Marsh&McLennan, Mckesson Corp, Meadwestvaco Cp, MSC Industrial Direct, Mueller Water, NCR Corporation, Newfield Exploration Company, Nicor Inc, Noble Energy, Parker-Hannifin, Pfizer Inc (All Sessions), PG&E Corp, Plantronics, Sherwin-Williams, Solar Winds, Starwood Hotels, Titan International, Total System Services, Trinity Industries, TRW Automotive, US Steel Corp, Whirl Pool Corp, Xylem
Flag of Great Britain
Arrow Global, BG Group, BP, Lloyds Banking Group, Lookers, Standard Chartered

Wednesday 29 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 86 86 85
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart 2.5% 2.8% 2.5%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart 0.2% -0.1% -0.4%
FOMC Rate Decision   0.25% 0-.25%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Antofagasta, Next, Ricardo, Stagecoach Group, Standard Life
Flag of the USA
Allstate Cp, Assurant, Calix Inc, CB Richard Ellis, CBL & Associates Properties, Commercial Metals, Digital River1, Eaton Vance, Exelon Corp, FMC Corporation, General Cable, Hanesbrands, Hershey Co, Hess Corp, Intrepid Potash, Lincoln Natl, Meritage Homes, Metlife Inc, Murphy Oil Corp, Phillips 66, Polo Ralph Lauren, Range Resources Corp, Raymond James, Realty Income Corp, Sealed Air Cp, Norfolk Southern, Speedway Motor, Sturm and Ruger Co, Terex Corp, Universal American Corp, US Silica Holdings Inc, Visa (All Sessions), Waste Managemnt, Weightwatchers, Wellpoint, Williams Comps, Williams Partners, Wisconsin Energy

Thursday 30 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 9.4% 8.5% +9.0%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart -0.2% 0.3% +0.5%
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.7% 6.7% 6.7%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart 13k 5k -22k
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -11.4 -11.1 -11.1
Business Climate Business Climate Chart 0.07 0.05 0.05
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 3.2 3.1 4.4
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 99.9 99.7 100.7
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -5.5 -5.5 -5.1
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 283k 283k 287k
CPI Final Month on Month   0.0% -0.1% -0.3%
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year Chart 3.1% 3.0% 3%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 3.5% 3.6% 3.6%
CPI Overall Nationwide CPI Overall Nationwide Chart 3.3% 3.2%

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Air Prods & Chem, Alon USA Energy, Alpha Natural Resources, Altria Group Inc, American Tower Corp, Amerisourcebergn, Apt Inv Manage, Avon Products, Ball Corp, Bally Technologies, BorgWarner, Cardinal Hlth, Care.com, Conocophillips (All Sessions), Crown Castle International, CVR Energy, Emerge Energy Services, Emulex Corp, Enterprise Products Partners, Fidelity Natl In, Fluor Corp, Fortress Invest, Gov Prop Income Trust, Graftech International Ltd, Harman Intl Inds, Host Hotels & Resorts, Imperva, Iron Mountain Incorporated, Johnson Controls, Kellogg Co, Kofax Limited, L-3 Comms Hldgs, Linkedin, Marathon Petroleum, Mastercard (All Sessions), MGM Mirage, Mohawk Inds, Mosaic, Newmont Mining, Nisource Inc, Ntl Oilwell Varc, NY Times, Ocwen Financial, Perkinelmer, Pitney Bowes Inc, Public Service Enterprise, Public Storage, Qwest Communications, Republic Services, Scana Corporation, Standard Pacific, Tesoro Corp, The Progressive, Ultra Petroleum Corp, Walter Energy, Western Union, World Fuel, World Wrestling Ent., Xcel Energy
Flag of Great Britain
Aviva, Barclays, BT Group, Cairn Energy, Countrywide, Henderson Group, Kazakhmys, Millennium & Copthorne Hotels, National Express Group, RPS Group, Smith & Nephew, St.James's Place

Friday 31 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart -1 -2 -2
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 2.3% +1.2%
PPI Quarter on Quarter PPI Quarter on Quarter Chart -0.1% +0.2%
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 1.4%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 0.1% 0.8% 2.3%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 2.5% -1.0% -3.2%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.3% 0.5%
Unemployment Rate   12.3% 12.4% 12.6%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 11.5% 11.5% 11.5%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.0% 0.0%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -1.7% -1.7%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart 0.5% -0.2%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.0% +0.1%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart 0.0% 0.0% -0.1%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.5% +1.4%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.5% +1.5%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.1% +0.1%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.3% +0.2%
Chicago PMI Chicago PMI Chart 60.5 60.0 66.2

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
AON Corp, Berendsen, Direct Line Insurance Group, Elementis, Impax Environmental Markets, Pendragon, Royal Bank Of Scotland Group, Supergroup
Flag of the USA
Chevron (All Sessions), Clorox Co, Dominion Res Inc, Exxon Mobil (All Sessions), Hilton Worldwide, ITT Corp, Legg Mason, Newell Rubbermd, NextEra Energy (All Sessions), NuStar Energy, Pepco Holdings, Rockwell Coll, Spirit AeroSystems, Inc, Teco Energy

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