Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 28/04/25
Tuesday 29 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-24.5 | -26.0 | -20.6 |
| 09:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence | 95.0 | 94.0 | 92.7 | |
| 11:00 | 
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.73 | -0.67 | |
| 11:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-16.7 | -16.7 | -16.7 |
| 11:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-10.6 | -10.1 | -11.2 |
| 11:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
95.2 | 94.5 | 93.6 |
| 11:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
2.4 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 15:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
92.9 | 87.5 | 86.0 |
Wednesday 30 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 | 
|
Industrial Production Prelim | 2.3% | -0.4% | -1.1% | |
| 00:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.4% | 3.5% | +3.1% |
| 02:30 | 
|
CPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.2% | 0.8% | +0.9% |
| 02:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
50.5 | 49.8 | 49.0 |
| 02:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
2.4% | 2.3% | +2.4% |
| 06:30 | 
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter |
|
-0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 07:00 | 
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.0% | 0.0% | -0.6% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
4.9% | 2.4% | +2.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.8% | -0.4% | -0.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
| 07:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.8% | -0.6% | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
26k | 15k | 4k |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% |
| 09:00 | 
|
ZEW Investor Sentiment | -10.7 | -51.6 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter |
|
-0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Flash Estimate Year on Year |
|
-0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Year on Year |
|
0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| 11:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
6.2% | 3.9% | |
| 11:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.7% | -2.4% | |
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
155k | 115k | 62k |
| 13:30 | 
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.0% | -0.2% |
| 14:00 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
3.0% | 1.8% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| 15:00 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 15:00 |
|
Pending Home Sales Month on Month |
|
2.0% | 1.0% | +6.1% |
| 15:00 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| 15:00 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 15:00 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 15:00 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 0.244Mln | 0.429Mln | -2.696Mln |
Thursday 01 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.5 | 48.7 | ||
| 06:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
34.1 | 31.2 | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-0.2% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.7% | ||
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 44.0 | 44.0 | 45.4 | |
| 09:30 |
|
Money Supply M4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
222k | 224k | 241k |
| 14:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 46.3 | 45.3 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
49.0 | 48.0 | 48.7 |
Friday 02 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% |
| 02:30 |
|
PPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.8% | +0.9% | |
| 02:30 |
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.2% | 0.4% | +0.3% |
| 02:30 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
3.7% | +3.7% | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.7% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-0.2% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 46.6 | 47.0 | 49.3 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.2 | 48.2 | 48.7 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.0 | 48.0 | 48.4 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.7 | 48.7 | 49.0 | |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
120K | 138K | 177K |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
228k | 130k | 177k |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
0.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% |
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