Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 28/01/19
Monday 28 January
Corporate Statements
Tuesday 29 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
87 | 88 | 91 |
| 09:00 | 
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.7% | -0.5% | |
| 09:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
4.5% | 4.1% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
128.1 | 124.7 | 120.2 |
| 23:50 | 
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.4% | 0.8% | +1.3% |
Corporate Statements
Wednesday 30 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
CPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.4% | 0.4% | +0.5% |
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
1.9% | 1.7% | +1.8% |
| 05:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
42.7 | 41.9 | |
| 06:30 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 07:00 | 
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
10.4 | 10.3 | 10.8 |
| 07:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.1% | -1.1% | |
| 08:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.1% | -1.1% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence | 113.1 | 112.6 | 114.0 | |
| 09:00 | 
|
ZEW Investor Sentiment | -22.2 | -44.0 | ||
| 10:00 | 
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
1.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
107.3 | 106.8 | 106.2 |
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-7.9 | -7.9 | -7.9 |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
0.82 | 0.75 | 0.69 |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
12.0 | 11.1 | 11.0 |
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.1% | -0.9% | -0.8% | |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
271k | 178k | 213.0k |
| 15:00 |
|
Pending Home Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.9% | 0.5% | -2.2% |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 7.970Mln | 3.155Mln | 0.919Mln | |
| 19:00 |
|
FOMC Rate Decision | 2.375% | 2.375% | 2.250 - 2.500% | |
| 23:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | -1.0% | -0.4% | -0.1% |
Corporate Statements
Thursday 31 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-14 | -15 | -14 |
| 01:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
49.4 | 49.3 | 49.5 |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
0.5% | 0.0% | +0.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
1.4% | -0.6% | -4.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.1% | -2.1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.7% | 0.2% | +0.3% |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
-14k | -10k | -2k |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter | -0.1% | -0.1% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Year on Year |
|
0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% |
| 10:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.2% | |
| 10:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Year on Year |
|
0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
199k | 227k | 253k |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.3% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
1.8% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.1% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
1.9% | 1.9% | |
| 13:30 | 
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
2.8% | +2.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.8% | 0.2% | -0.7% |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
0.3% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
| 15:00 |
|
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month |
|
0.544Mln | 0.560Mln | 0.657Mln |
| 23:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
Corporate Statements
Friday 01 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.0 | 50.3 | ||
| 00:30 |
|
PPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.8% | 0.5% | |
| 00:30 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
2.1% | 2.0% | |
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.2 | 48.8 | 47.8 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.2 | 51.2 | 51.2 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.9 | 49.9 | 49.7 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.5 | 50.5 | 50.5 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 54.2 | 53.5 | 52.8 | |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
312k | 165k | +304k |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.4% | 0.3% | +0.1% |
| 14:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 53.6 | 53.0 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
54.1 | 54.2 | 56.6 |
Corporate Statements
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