Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 28/06/21
Tuesday 29 June
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% |
| 00:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
12.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% |
| 06:30 | 
|
ILO Unemployment Rate |
|
8.0% | 8.1% | |
| 07:00 | 
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
10.9% | 13.6% | 13.4% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
1.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| 07:45 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
97 | 100 | 102 |
| 10:00 | 
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
11.5 | 12.3 | 12.7 |
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-3.3 | -3.3 | -3.3 |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
114.5 | 116.5 | 117.9 |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
11.3 | 14.8 | 17.9 |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
1.50 | 1.71 | |
| 11:00 |
|
ILO Unemployment Rate |
|
8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% |
| 13:00 | 
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 15:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
117.2 | 119.0 | 127.3 |
Wednesday 30 June
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | 2.9% | -2.4% | -5.9% | |
| 02:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
51.0 | 50.8 | 50.9 |
| 06:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
34.1 | 37.4 | |
| 07:00 |
|
Current Account |
|
-26.300Bln GB | -13.250Bln GB | -12.828Bln GB |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Final Year on Year | -6.1% | -6.1% | -6.1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter |
|
-1.5% | -1.5% | -1.6% |
| 07:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
-15k | -20k | -38k |
| 09:00 | 
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
6.5% | 8.0% | |
| 09:00 | 
|
ZEW Investor Sentiment | 72.2 | 51.3 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
1.1% | 1.0% | |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
978k | 600k | 692k |
| 13:30 | 
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
14.3% | 16.4% | |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
1.1% | -0.8% | -0.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
1.6% | 2.7% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Pending Home Sales Month on Month |
|
-4.4% | -0.8% | 8.0% |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -7.614Mln | -4.686Mln | -6.718Mln |
Thursday 01 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index |
|
5 | 15 | 14 |
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index |
|
-1 | 3 | 1 |
| 01:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.5 | 52.4 | ||
| 02:30 | 
|
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
8028Mln AU | 10000Mln AU | 9681Mln AU |
| 02:30 |
|
Imports |
|
-3% | 3% | |
| 02:30 |
|
Exports |
|
3% | 6% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
4.4% | -2.2% | -2.4% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% |
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 62.3 | 62.2 | 62.2 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 58.6 | 58.6 | 59.0 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 64.9 | 64.9 | 65.1 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 63.1 | 63.1 | 63.4 | |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 64.2 | 64.2 | 63.9 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
411k | 355k | 364k |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
61.2 | 61.0 | 60.6 |
Friday 02 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
7.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-68.9Bln US | -71.4Bln US | -71.2Bln US |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
0.59Bln CA | 0.37Bln CA | -1.39Bln CA |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
559k | 700k | 850k |
| 14:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 57.0 | 56.5 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% |
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