Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 28/11/22

Monday 28 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 0.6% 0.5% -0.2%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 2.6% 2.5% 2.6%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 4.5% 5.0% +4.3%

Tuesday 29 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Money Supply M4   2.1% 0.0%
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 92.5 93.5 +93.7
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -1.2 -0.5 -2.0
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 1.8 2.0 +2.3
Business Climate Business Climate Chart 0.76 0.54
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -23.9 -23.9 -23.9
CPI Final Month on Month   0.9% -0.2% -0.5%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
GDP Quarter on Quarter GDP Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.8% 0.7%
GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised Chart 3.3% 1.5% 2.9%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 102.5 100.0 100.2
Industrial Production Prelim   -1.7% -1.5% -2.6%

Wednesday 30 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 49.2 49.0 48.0
GDP Detailed Quarter on Quarter   0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 1.0% -0.1%
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 5.5% 5.5% 5.6%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart 8k 13k 17k
GDP Final Year on Year   2.6% 2.6% 2.6%
ZEW Investor Sentiment   -53.1 -57.5
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 239k 200k 127k
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart -10.2% -5.0% -4.6%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   -3.691Mln -2.758Mln -12.580Mln

Thursday 01 December

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Manufacturing   49.4 49.0
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 29.9 28.6
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart -0.9% -0.3% -1.4%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 7.2% 5.8% 4.4%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 0.9% -0.6% -2.8%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -0.9% -2.8% -5.0%
PMI Manufacturing   46.5 47.0 48.4
PMI Manufacturing   49.1 49.1 48.3
PMI Manufacturing   46.7 46.7 46.2
Unemployment Rate   7.9% 8.0% 7.8%
PMI Manufacturing   47.3 47.3 47.1
PMI Manufacturing   46.2 46.2 46.5
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 6.6% 6.6% +6.5%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.3%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 5.1% 5.0% 5.0%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 240k 235k 225k
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 6.2% 6.0%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.4% 0.7%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.5%
PMI Manufacturing   48.8 49.6
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 50.2 49.8 49.0

Friday 02 December

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 2.8Bln EU 5.2Bln EU 6.9Bln EU
Industrial Production Month on Month   -0.8% -2.6%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 41.9% 31.5% +30.8%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 1.6% -2.0% -2.9%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 5.2% 5.3% 5.1%
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.4% 0.3% 0.6%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 261k 200k 263k
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 3.7% 3.7% 3.7%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 3.7% 3.7%

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