Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 28/09/20

Tuesday 29 September

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 94 94 95
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -4.2% -3.0%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.1%
Business Climate Business Climate Chart -1.33 -1.19
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart -17.2 -15.7 -11.1
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 87.7 89.0 91.1
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -12.7 -10.0 -11.1
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -13.9 -13.9 -13.9
CPI Final Month on Month   -0.1% -0.1% -0.2%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart 0.7% 0.3%
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart -2.3% -2.3%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 84.8 89.5 101.8

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
AA Ltd, Cairn Energy

Wednesday 30 September

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -2.8% -3.5% -1.9%
Industrial Production Prelim   8.7% 1.5% 1.7%
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 51.0 51.2 51.5
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 2.0% 0.5% 0.9%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 4.2% 4.2% 3.7%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.9% 0.5% 3.1%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 3.7% 4.5% 5.0%
GDP Final Year on Year   -21.7% -21.7% -21.5%
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart -20.4% -20.4% -19.8%
Current Account Current Account Chart -21.100Bln GB -0.400Bln GB -2.8Bln GB
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.4% +0.1%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart -9k -8k -8k
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.4% 6.4% 6.3%
ZEW Investor Sentiment   45.6 26.2
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.4% 6.4%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart -9k -8k
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 428k 650k 749k
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart 6.5% 3.0% 3.0%
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart 5.9% 3.4% +8.8%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   -1.639Mln 1.569Mln -1.980Mln

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
BooHoo, Everyman Media Group, Quixant PLC

Thursday 01 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index Chart -17 -9 -12
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index Tankan Big Manufacturers Index Chart -34 -23 -27
PMI Manufacturing   47.3 47.7
PMI Manufacturing   53.1 53.5 53.2
PMI Manufacturing   50.9 50.9 51.2
PMI Manufacturing   56.6 56.6 56.4
PMI Manufacturing   53.7 53.7 53.7
Unemployment Rate   9.7% 10.1% 9.7%
PMI Manufacturing   54.3 54.3 54.1
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.6% 0.1% +0.1%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -3.3% -2.7% -2.5%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 7.9% 8.1% 8.1%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.4% -2.4% -2.7%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart 1.6% 0.7%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.0% 1.4%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.3%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.3% 1.4% 1.6%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 870k 823k 837k
PMI Manufacturing   55.1 56.0
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 56.0 56.4 55.4
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 2.0% 2.6%

Friday 02 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 2.9% 3.0% 3.0%
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 3.2% -4.2% -4.0%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 29.3 32.7
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart -12.4% -12.4% -12.8%
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 1371k 850k 661k
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 8.4% 8.2% 7.9%
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart 6.4% 1.0% 0.7%

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