Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 29/08/16
Monday 29 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence | 111.3 | 110.5 | 109.2 | |
| 13:30 | 
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.3% | +0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.4% | +0.4% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.1% | +0.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
1.6% | +1.6% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
0.9% | +0.8% | |
| 18:00 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
1.0% | 0.8% |
Corporate Statements
Tuesday 30 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% |
| 00:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-1.4% | -0.9% | -0.2% |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
-1.30% | 0.8% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.30% | 0.2% | |
| 10:00 | 
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
104.6 | 104.1 | 103.5 |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-2.4 | -2.7 | -4.4 |
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-7.9 | -8.5 | -8.5 |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
11.1 | 11.2 | 10.0 |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
0.39 | 0.36 | 0.02 |
| 13:00 | 
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 13:30 | 
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
0.6% | -0.1% | 0.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
-0.8% | -1.3% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
97.3 | 97.0 | 101.1 |
Corporate Statements
Wednesday 31 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-12 | -8 | -7 |
| 00:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
2.7% | 0.3% | -1.5% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.5% | 1.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
5.2% | 4.8% | +5.6% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.5% | -0.3% | +0.6% |
| 07:45 | 
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.0% | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
-7k | -5k | -7k |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.4% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
10.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
179k | 175k | 177.0k |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised |
|
2.4% | -1.5% | -1.6% |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.6% | -0.4% | |
| 14:45 |
|
Chicago PMI |
|
55.8 | 54.0 | 51.5 |
| 15:00 |
|
Pending Home Sales Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.6% | +1.3% |
Corporate Statements
Thursday 01 September
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.6 | 49.5 | ||
| 02:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
49.9 | 49.9 | 50.4 |
| 02:30 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.2 | 51.1 | 49.8 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.5 | 48.5 | 48.3 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 53.6 | 53.6 | 53.6 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.8 | 51.8 | 51.7 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.2 | 49.0 | 53.3 | |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
261k | 265k | 263k |
| 14:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.9 | 51.1 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
52.6 | 52.0 | 49.4 |
Corporate Statements
Friday 02 September
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
41.3 | 42.0 | |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Final Year on Year | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-3.1% | -2.9% | -2.8% |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-44.5bln $ | -42.7bln $ | -39.47bln $ |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | +0.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
255k | 180k | +151k |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-3.63bln C$ | -3.25bln C$ | -2.49bln C$ |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-1.5% | 2.0% | +1.9% |
Corporate Statements
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