Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 29/01/18
Monday 29 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | 
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
2.5% | 2.0% | |
| 09:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.0% | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
2.5% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.4% | ||
| 13:30 | 
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.4% | +0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | +0.4% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
1.8% | +1.7% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.2% | +0.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
1.5% | 1.5% | +1.5% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | +0.2% |
| 14:00 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
2.2% | 1.8% | |
| 23:30 | 
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% |
| 23:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
2.2% | 1.8% | +3.6% |
Corporate Statements
Tuesday 30 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | 
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| 09:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence | 116.6 | 116.3 | 115.5 | |
| 10:00 | 
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
116.0 | 116.3 | 114.7 |
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
1.30 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
1.66 | 1.69 | 1.54 |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
18.4 | 18.6 | 16.7 |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
9.1 | 9.0 | 8.8 |
| 13:00 | 
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.6% | -0.6% | -0.7% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
122.1 | 123.1 | 125.4 |
| 23:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | 0.5% | 1.6% | +2.7% |
Corporate Statements
Wednesday 31 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 | 
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-13 | -13 | -9 |
| 00:30 | 
|
CPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.6% | 0.7% | +0.6% |
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
1.8% | 2.0% | +1.9% |
| 01:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
51.6 | 51.5 | 51.3 |
| 05:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
44.7 | 44.7 | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
2.3% | -0.3% | -1.9% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
4.4% | 2.8% | -1.9% |
| 07:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
1.4% | 0.0% | |
| 09:00 | 
|
ZEW Investor Sentiment | 52.0 | 34.5 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
-29k | -17k | -25k |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
8.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
250k | 185k | 234.0k |
| 13:30 | 
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
2.7% | 2.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
1.4% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.4% | +0.4% |
| 14:45 |
|
Chicago PMI |
|
67.8 | 64.1 | 65.7 |
| 15:00 |
|
Pending Home Sales Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.4% | +0.5% |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -1.071Mln | 0.126Mln | 6.776Mln | |
| 16:00 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-9 | ||
| 19:00 |
|
FOMC Rate Decision | 1.375% | 1.375% | 1.375% |
Corporate Statements
Thursday 01 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 54.4 | 54.8 | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.6% | 2.5% | +3.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.6% | 0.2% | +0.6% |
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 57.4 | 57.5 | 59.0 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 58.1 | 58.1 | 58.4 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 61.2 | 61.2 | 61.1 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 59.6 | 59.6 | 59.6 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 56.3 | 56.5 | 55.3 | |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
233k | 230k | 230k |
| 14:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 54.7 | 55.9 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
59.7 | 58.8 | 59.1 |
Corporate Statements
Friday 02 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
PPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.2% | +0.6% | |
| 00:30 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
1.6% | +1.7% | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | +0.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
148k | 180k | +200k |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
1.3% | 1.5% | +1.7% |
Corporate Statements
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