Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 29/07/13
Monday 29 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 | |
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
0.8% | 1.9% | +1.6% |
| 15:00 | |
Pending Home Sales Month on Month |
|
6.7% | -1.0% | -0.4% |
Corporate Statements
Tuesday 30 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | |
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% |
| 01:30 | |
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% |
| 07:00 | |
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
6.8 | 6.9 | 7.0 |
| 10:00 | |
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-11.2 | -10.2 | -10.6 |
| 10:00 | |
Consumer Confidence |
|
-18.8 | -17.4 | -17.4 |
| 10:00 | |
Services Sentiment |
|
-9.5 | -9.0 | -7.8 |
| 10:00 | |
Economic Sentiment |
|
91.3 | 92.6 | 92.5 |
| 10:00 | |
Business Climate |
|
-0.68 | -0.55 | -0.53 |
| 13:00 | |
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 13:30 | |
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.0% | +0.3% |
| 13:30 | |
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
0.0% | +0.6% | |
| 15:00 | |
Consumer Confidence |
|
81.4 | 81.4 | 80.3 |
Corporate Statements
Wednesday 31 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:05 | |
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-21 | -20 | -16 |
| 00:13 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 52.3 | 50.7 | ||
| 00:30 | |
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% |
| 00:50 | |
Industrial Production Prelim | 1.9% | -1.8% | -3.3% | |
| 07:00 | |
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.8% | 0.0% | -1.5% |
| 07:00 | |
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
0.4% | 0.4% | -2.8% |
| 07:45 | |
PPI Month on Month |
|
-1.2% | -0.3% | -0.3% |
| 08:55 | |
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
-12k | 0k | -7k |
| 08:55 | |
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% |
| 09:00 | |
Unemployment Rate | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | |
| 10:00 | |
Unemployment Rate |
|
12.2% | 12.2% | 12.1% |
| 11:00 | |
PPI Year on Year |
|
-1.0% | -0.7% | |
| 11:00 | |
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 13:15 | |
ADP employment report |
|
188k | 180k | 200.0k |
| 13:30 | |
PCE Prices |
|
1.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| 13:30 | |
GDP Deflator |
|
1.3% | 1.1% | +0.7% |
| 13:30 | |
GDP Consumer Spending |
|
2.6% | +1.8% | |
| 13:30 | |
GDP Sales |
|
1.2% | 0.8% | +1.3% |
| 13:30 | |
GDP |
|
1.8% | 1.0% | +1.7% |
| 13:30 | |
PCE Core Prices |
|
1.3% | 1.1% | +0.8% |
| 13:30 | |
GDP Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.3% | +0.2% |
| 14:45 | |
Chicago PMI |
|
51.6 | 54.0 | 52.3 |
| 19:00 | |
FOMC Rate Decision | % | 0-0.25% |
Corporate Statements
Thursday 01 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:00 | |
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
50.1 | 49.9 | 50.3 |
| 08:43 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 49.1 | 49.8 | 50.4 | |
| 08:48 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 49.8 | 49.8 | 49.7 | |
| 08:53 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 50.3 | 50.3 | 50.7 | |
| 08:58 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 50.1 | 50.1 | 50.3 | |
| 09:28 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 52.5 | 52.8 | 54.6 | |
| 12:00 | |
BoE Rate Decision |
|
0.50% | 0.50% | 0.5% |
| 12:00 | |
BoE QE Total | 375bln GB | 375bln GB | 375bln GB | |
| 12:45 | |
ECB Rate Decision |
|
0.50% | 0.50% | 0.5% |
| 13:30 | |
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
343k | 345k | 326k |
| 14:30 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 52.4 | 52 | ||
| 15:00 | |
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
50.9 | 52.0 | 55.4 |
Corporate Statements
Friday 02 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 | |
PPI Year on Year |
|
1.6% | 1.6% | +1.2% |
| 02:30 | |
PPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.3% | 0.6% | +0.1% |
| 07:00 | |
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% |
| 07:00 | |
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% |
| 10:00 | |
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 10:00 | |
PPI Year on Year |
|
-0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 13:30 | |
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.1% | +0.2% |
| 13:30 | |
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
195k | 184k | +162k |
| 13:30 | |
Unemployment Rate |
|
7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% |
| 13:30 | |
Average Earnings |
|
0.4% | 0.2% | -0.1% |
| 13:30 | |
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.1% | +0.4% | |
| 13:30 | |
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
1.1% | +1.2% | |
| 13:30 | |
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.5% | 0.4% | +0.3% |
| 13:30 | |
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.2% | +0.1% | |
| 13:30 | |
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
1.0% | +1.3% | |
| 15:00 | |
Factory Orders |
|
2.1% | 2.3% | +1.5% |
Corporate Statements
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