Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 29/07/19

Monday 29 July

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 1.2% 0.2% +0.5%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.1% -0.3%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 1.5% 0.9%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Defenx, Hammerson, TBC Bank
Flag of the USA
AK Steel, Amerus, Cooper Tire & Rubber, Keane Group, Leggett& Platt, LSB Industries Inc, Perkinelmer, Pfizer Inc (All Sessions), RingCentral, Simpson Manufacturing Co, Terex Corp

Tuesday 30 July

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 2.4% 2.4% 2.3%
Industrial Production Prelim   2.0% -2.0% -3.6%
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter Chart % 0.3% 0.2%
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart 9.8 9.7 9.7
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -6.6 -6.6 -6.6
Business Climate Business Climate Chart 0.17 0.08 -0.12
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 103.3 102.6 102.7
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -5.6 -7.0 -7.4
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 11.0 10.6 10.6
CPI Final Month on Month   0.3% 0.3% 0.5%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.2% +0.2%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.6% 1.7% +1.6%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.2% +0.1%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.5% +1.4%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.5% 0.4% +0.4%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart 0.2% +0.2%
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart 1.1% 0.5% +2.8%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 121.5 125.0 135.7

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
AGCO Corp, Allstate Cp, Altria Group Inc, Ametek Inc, AO Smith, Artisan Partners, Ashland Inc, Boston Ppty, Conocophillips (All Sessions), Owens Corning, Cummins Inc, D R Horton, Digital Realty Trust, Inc., Eaton Vance, Ecolab Inc, Eli Lilly and Co (All Sessions), EMCOR Group, FMC Corporation, Franklin Res, Genworth Finl, Global Payment, HCA Inc, Healthcare Realty Trust, Huntsman, Marsh&McLennan, Mastercard (All Sessions), MDU Resources, Merck & Co (All Sessions), NCR Corporation, New Residential Investment Corp, ONEOK, Polo Ralph Lauren, Procter & Gamble (All Sessions), Public Service Enterprise, Public Storage, Ryder System Inc, SunCoke Energy, Systemax, Under Armour Class C, Unisys Corp, Unum Group, US Silica Holdings Inc, Wabtec Common Stock, Waters Corp, WellCare Health Plans, Xerox, Zendesk, Inc
Flag of Great Britain
Aggreko, Anglo American, Elementis, Fastjet, Forterra, Games Workshop, Greggs, Impellam Group, Jupiter Fund Management, LSL Property Services, MITIE Group, NWF Group, Sabre Insurance, Weir Group

Wednesday 31 July

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart -13 -13 -11
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 49.4 49.6 49.7
CPI Quarter on Quarter CPI Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.0% 0.5% 0.6%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 1.3% 1.5% 1.6%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 38.7 37.8
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.1% 0.2% 0.3%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.6% 0.5% 3.5%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 4.0% -1.6%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 0.5% 0.1% 0.3%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart -1k 2k 1k
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
Unemployment Rate   9.9% 10.0% 9.7%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 7.5% 7.5% 7.5%
GDP Prelim Year on Year GDP Prelim Year on Year Chart -0.1% -0.2% 0.0%
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter   0.1% -0.1% 0.0%
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 102k 150k 156.0k
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart 0.1% -0.1% -1.4%
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart 0.6% -1.7%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.1% 0.2%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   -10.835Mln -2.588Mln -8.496Mln
FOMC Rate Decision   2.375% 2.125% 2.00 - 2.25%

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Alteryx, Altice USA, American Tower Corp, American Water Works Co, Annaly Capital Management Inc, Antero Resources, Apollo Global Management, Ares Management, Avalonbay Communities, Bunge, CBL & Associates Properties, Church & Dwight Co, Clean Harbors, Compass Diversified Holdings, DineEquity, Dominion Res Inc, Entergy, Enterprise Products Partners, Entertainment Prop Tr, Ferro Corp, FitBit, Flowserve Corporation, General Electric, Graftech International Ltd, Greenhill and Co, Harris Corporation, Harsco Corporation, HCP, Humana, Hyatt, ION Geophysical Corporation, KBR, Laredo Petroleum, Lincoln Natl, Matador Resources, Mckesson Corp, Metals USA Hldgs Corp, Metlife Inc, Moody's, Nielsen Holdings, Nisource Inc, Occidental Petroleum, Paramount Group, Peabody Energy, Radian Group, Ramco-Gershenson, Scotts Miracle Gro, Norfolk Southern, Spirit AeroSystems, Inc, Sturm and Ruger Co, Teladoc, Twilio, Urban Edge Properties, Warrior Met Coal, Williams Comps
Flag of Great Britain
3i Group, 4imprint Group, Countrywide, Hargreaves Services, Henderson Group, Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Just Eat, Luxfer Holdings, Mitchells & Butlers, Restore, Taylor Wimpey

Thursday 01 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Manufacturing   49.6 49.4
PMI Manufacturing   48.4 48.0 48.5
PMI Manufacturing   50.0 50.0 49.7
PMI Manufacturing   43.1 43.2
PMI Manufacturing   46.4 46.4 46.5
PMI Manufacturing   48.0 47.7 48.0
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged   9 9 9
MPC Vote For Rate Hike   0 0 0
MPC Vote For Rate Cut   0 0 0
BoE QE Total   435Bln GB 435Bln GB 435.0Bln GB
BoE Rate Decision BoE Rate Decision Chart 0.75% 0.75% 0.75%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 207k 214k 215k
PMI Manufacturing   49.2 50.2
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 51.7 52.0 51.2

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Barclays, Ensco Intl, Eurocell, London Stock Exchange Group, Noble Corporation , Portmeirion, RPS Group, Spirent Communications
Flag of the USA
Allete Inc, Alliant Energy Corp, Amerisourcebergn, Apache Corp, Apt Inv Manage, Archer Daniels, Avon Products, B&G Foods, Ball Corp, Beazer Homes, Chemours Company, Cigna Corp, Clorox Co, Consol Edison, DaVita, Dolby Labs, Emergent Biosolutions Inc, EOG Resources, Exelon Corp, Fluor Corp, Generac Holdings, General Motors (All Sessions), Go Daddy, Hanesbrands, Hartford Finl, Herc Holdings Inc, Hercules Technology Growth, HollyFrontier, Intellicheck, Intercontinental Exchange, Iron Mountain Incorporated, Kellogg Co, Legg Mason, Marathon Petroleum, Motorola Solutions, MSCI Inc, National Fuel Gas Co., Parker-Hannifin, Pinterest (All Sessions), Post Holdings, Quanta Services, Shell Midstream Partners, Solar Winds, The Madison Square Garden Sports, Sunstone HTL, Teradata Corporation, The Macerich Co, Titan International, US Steel Corp, Verizon Comms Inc, WayFair Inc, Western Union, Xylem, Yum Brands

Friday 02 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 0.1% 0.3% 0.4%
PPI Quarter on Quarter PPI Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.4% 0.4%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 1.9% 2%
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Chart -0.7% -1.2%
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.9% -0.3% -0.2%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.1% -0.3% -0.6%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 1.6% 0.8% 0.7%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.3% 0.2% 1.1%
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Chart -0.70% 1.9%
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Chart -1.80% 1.3%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 1.3% 1.3% 2.6%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 0.76Bln CA -0.30Bln CA +0.14Bln CA
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.2% 0.2% +0.3%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 3.7% 3.7% 3.7%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -55.5Bln US -54.6Bln US -55.2Bln US
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 224k 164k +164k
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart -0.7% 0.8% 0.6%

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Ameren Corp, Arconic Inc, Chevron (All Sessions), Exxon Mobil (All Sessions), ITT Corp, Newell Brands, Noble Energy, Och-Ziff Capital Management, Sealed Air Cp, Sempra Energy, Sprint Nextel
Flag of Great Britain
Alternative Income, Appscatter, BT Group, Capital & Regional, Diverse Income Trust, Equiniti, Fidelity European Values, Millennium & Copthorne Hotels

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