Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 29/07/24
Monday 29 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:30 | 
|
Money Supply M4 | -0.1% | 0.5% |
Tuesday 30 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% |
| 06:30 | 
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| 09:00 | 
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 09:00 | 
|
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.2% | 0.1% | -0.1% |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Year on Year |
|
0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Flash Estimate Year on Year |
|
-0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 10:00 | 
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-10.1 | -10.7 | -10.5 |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
6.5 | 5.5 | 4.8 |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.46 | -0.61 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-13.0 | -13.0 | -13.0 |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
95.9 | 95.4 | 95.8 |
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 15:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
100.4 | 99.7 | 100.3 |
Wednesday 31 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% |
| 00:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | 3.6% | -4.8% | -3.6% | |
| 02:30 | 
|
CPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| 02:30 |
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| 02:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| 02:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
49.5 | 49.3 | 49.4 |
| 06:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
36.4 | 36.7 | |
| 07:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-1.4% | -0.3% | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
19k | 15k | 18k |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| 09:00 | 
|
ZEW Investor Sentiment | 17.5 | 9.4 | ||
| 11:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-3.5% | -2.5% | |
| 11:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
150k | 150k | 122k |
| 13:30 | 
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| 15:00 |
|
Pending Home Sales Month on Month |
|
-2.1% | 1.5% | 4.8% |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -3.741Mln | -1.088Mln | -3.436Mln | |
| 19:00 |
|
FOMC Rate Decision | 5.375% | 5.375% | 5.250 - 5.500% |
Thursday 01 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.2 | 49.1 | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Month on Month |
|
0.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Year on Year |
|
0.6% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.2% | 0.1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
0.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.2% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 45.7 | 46.1 | 47.4 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 44.1 | 44.1 | 44.0 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 42.6 | 42.6 | 43.2 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 45.6 | 45.6 | 45.8 | |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.8 | 51.8 | 52.1 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
5.25% | 5.00% | 5.00% |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 2 | 5 | 5 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 7 | 4 | 4 | |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
235k | 236k | 249k |
| 14:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.3 | 47.8 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
48.5 | 48.8 | 46.8 |
Friday 02 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 |
|
PPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 02:30 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
4.3% | 4.8% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
0.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Year on Year |
|
0.6% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Month on Month |
|
0.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.2% | 0.1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.2% | ||
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | -2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) |
|
-3.3% | -2.6% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.5% | 0.0% | 0.5% |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
0.40% | -1.00% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.40% | -0.20% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
206k | 175k | 114k |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
118K | 176K | 114K |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-0.5% | -2.9% | -3.3% |
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