Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 29/06/15

Monday 29 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 7.8 8.0 7.9
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -5.5 -5.6 -5.6
Business Climate Business Climate Chart 0.28 0.27 0.14
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 103.8 103.8 103.5
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -3.0 -3.0 -3.4
CPI Final Month on Month   0.1% 0.1% -0.1%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart -0.9% 0.5% 0.5%
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart -2.4% -1.8% -1.3%
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart 3.4% 1.2% +0.9%
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart 1 2

Tuesday 30 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 1.7% 0.0% 0.5%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 1.0% 2.8% -0.4%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.4% -0.5%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart -6k -5k -1k
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.4% 6.4% 6.4%
Unemployment Rate   12.4% 12.3% 12.4%
GDP Final Year on Year   2.4% 2.5% +2.9%
Current Account Current Account Chart -25.300bln GB -23.75bln GB -26.548bln GB
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.3% 0.4% +0.4%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 11.1% 11.1% 11.1%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.1% 0.2%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -2.3% -1.9%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart -0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Chicago PMI Chicago PMI Chart 46.2 50.0 49.4
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 95.4 97.3 101.4
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index Tankan Big Manufacturers Index Chart 12 12
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index Chart 19 22

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Imagination Technologies Group, Kier Group, Northgate

Wednesday 01 July

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index Tankan Big Manufacturers Index Chart 12 12 +15
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index Chart 19 22 +23
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 50.2 50.3 50.2
PMI Manufacturing   49.9 50.1
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 50.2 50.3 50.2
PMI Manufacturing   49.9 50.1
PMI Manufacturing   54.8 54.4 54.1
PMI Manufacturing   50.5 50.5 50.7
PMI Manufacturing   51.9 51.9 51.9
PMI Manufacturing   52.5 52.5 52.5
PMI Manufacturing   52.0 52.5 51.4
PMI Manufacturing   54.8 54.4 54.1
PMI Manufacturing   50.5 50.5 50.7
PMI Manufacturing   51.9 51.9 51.9
PMI Manufacturing   52.5 52.5 52.5
PMI Manufacturing   52.0 52.5 51.4
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 201k 218k 237.0k
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 201k 218k 237.0k
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 52.8 53.1
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 52.8 53.1 53.5

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Acuity RM Group Plc, Constellation A, Baillie Gifford Japan Trust, General Motors (All Sessions), Mccormick & Co
Flag of Great Britain
Granite Point Mortgage Trust, Serco Group, Topps Tiles

Thursday 02 July

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Exports Exports Chart -6.0% +1%
Trade Balance Goods & Services Trade Balance Goods & Services Chart -3888mln AU -2200mln AU -2751mln AU
Imports Imports Chart 4.0% -4%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 4.6% 4.3% +3.3%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.3% 0.5% -0.2%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -2.2% -2.0% -2.0%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 271k 275k 281k
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 280k 230k +223k
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 5.5% 5.4% 5.3%
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
PMI Manufacturing   49.8 51.3
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart -0.4% -0.5% -1.0%

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Autonation Inc, Rite Aid Corporation
Flag of Great Britain
Hunting, Persimmon

Friday 03 July

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 0.0% 0.5% +0.3%
PMI Services   52.5 52.5 53.4
PMI Services   54.1 54.1 54.1
PMI Services   54.2 54.2 53.8
PMI Services   54.4 54.4 54.4
PMI Composite   54.1 54.1 54.2
PMI Services   56.5 57.4 58.5
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 0.7% 0.1% 0.2%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 2.2% 2.3% 2.4%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Polar Capital Technology Trust

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