Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 29/06/20


Monday 29 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -13.7% -11.6% -12.3%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -14.7 -14.7 -14.7
Business Climate Business Climate Chart -2.43 -2.26
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart -43.6 -25.4 -35.6
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 67.5 80.0 75.7
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -27.5 -20.0 -21.7
CPI Final Month on Month   -0.1% 0.3% 0.6%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart -2.3% 1.2% 1.2%
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart -6.0% -4.9%
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart -21.8% 18.9% +44.3%

Corporate Statements


Tuesday 30 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 2.6% 2.8% 2.9%
Industrial Production Prelim   -9.8% -5.6% -8.4%
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 50.6 50.4 50.9
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart -2.0% -2.0% -2.2%
Current Account Current Account Chart -5.600Bln GB -15.400Bln GB -21.1Bln GB
GDP Final Year on Year   -1.6% -1.6% -1.7%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -2.9% -0.1%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -2.6% -0.1%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -5.1% -5.3%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart -7.2% -13.0% -11.6%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 86.6 91.8 98.1

Corporate Statements


Wednesday 01 July

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index Tankan Big Manufacturers Index Chart -8 -31 -34
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index Chart 8 -18 -17
PMI Manufacturing   37.8 40.1
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 24.0 28.4
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart -1.7% -0.7% -1.4%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -6.5% -3.5% +3.8%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 1.8% 1.0% -0.1%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -5.3% 3.9% +13.9%
PMI Manufacturing   45.4 47.7 47.5
PMI Manufacturing   52.1 52.1 52.3
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.3% 6.6% 6.4%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart 238k 120k 69k
PMI Manufacturing   44.6 44.6 45.2
PMI Manufacturing   46.9 46.9 47.4
PMI Manufacturing   50.1 50.1 50.1
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart -2760k 3000k 2369k
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 43.1 49.5 52.6
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   1.442Mln -0.710Mln -7.195Mln

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Constellation A, General Mills, Macy's
Flag of Great Britain
Enteq Upstream, John Laing Group, Securities Trust of Scotland, Smith & Nephew

Thursday 02 July

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Exports Exports Chart -11% -4%
Trade Balance Goods & Services Trade Balance Goods & Services Chart 8800Mln AU 9000Mln AU 8025Mln AU
Imports Imports Chart -10% -6%
Unemployment Rate   6.3% 7.7% 7.8%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -2.0% -0.5% -0.6%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -4.5% -4.8% -5.0%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 7.3% 7.7% 7.4%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 1480k 1378k 1427k
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -49.4Bln US -53.0Bln US -54.6Bln US
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -3.25Bln CA -3.00Bln CA -0.68Bln CA
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 13.3% 12.3% 11.1%
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart -1.0% -0.7% -1.2%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 2509k 3000k 4800k
PMI Manufacturing   40.6 47.8
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart -13.0% 8.9% 8.0%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Meggitt, Mitchells & Butlers, Smith (DS)

Friday 03 July

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart -17.7% 16.3% +16.9%
PMI Services   28.9 47.0 46.4
PMI Services   50.3 50.3 50.7
PMI Services   45.8 45.8 47.3
PMI Composite   47.5 47.5 48.5
PMI Services   47.3 47.3 48.3
PMI Services   47.0 47.0 47.1

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Arena Events, CMC Markets, Fuller,Smith & Turner, Fuller,Smith & Turner, Invesco Income Growth Trust

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