Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 29/06/26
Monday 29 June
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 | 
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
2.1% | 3.2% | +5.3% |
| 09:30 | 
|
Money Supply M4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | ||
| 09:30 |
|
Money Supply M4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | ||
| 10:00 | 
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.26 | -0.38 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-17.7 | -17.7 | -17.7 |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
93.5 | 94.3 | 95.0 |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-8.0 | -7.2 | -7.7 |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
93.5 | 94.3 | 95.0 |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.26 | -0.38 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
2.2 | 3.0 | 3.2 |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-8.0 | -7.2 | -7.7 |
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-17.7 | -17.7 | -17.7 |
Tuesday 30 June
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| 00:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 02:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
50.0 | 50.1 | 50.3 |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Final Year on Year | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| 07:00 | 
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-0.3% | -0.5% | +1.8% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | 0.0% | +1.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
Current Account |
|
-18.392Bln GB | -20.700Bln GB | -22.134Bln GB |
| 07:45 | 
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-2.1% | -0.3% | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
-12k | 7k | -1k |
| 09:00 | 
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.3% | -0.2% | |
| 09:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
6.8% | 7.3% | |
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | -0.2% | 0.00% | -0.30% | |
| 13:30 | 
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.4% | +0.5% |
| 15:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
93.1 | 94.8 | 91.2 |
Wednesday 01 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index |
|
17 | 16 | 22 |
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index |
|
36 | 35 | 37 |
| 01:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 54.9 | 54.8 | ||
| 06:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
33.6 | 33.8 | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% |
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.9 | 52.4 | 52.2 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.7 | 50.7 | 51.2 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.3 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.3 | 51.3 | 51.4 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 53.1 | 53.1 | 52.5 | |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
122k | 118k | 98k |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
54.0 | 54.0 | 53.3 |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -6.088Mln | -4.466Mln | -3.775Mln |
Thursday 02 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
172k | 110k | 57k |
| 14:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.9 | 53.0 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
4.8% | -1.8% | -1.3% |
Friday 03 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | 0.1% | -0.4% | -0.1% | |
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 49.4 | 50.5 | 50.2 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 47.4 | 47.4 | 46.8 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 46.8 | 46.8 | 48.6 | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
1.60% | +2.2% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.00% | +0.2% | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 48.9 | 48.9 | 49.4 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 49.5 | 49.5 | 50.0 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 48.7 | 48.7 | 48.8 |
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