Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 29/06/26


Monday 29 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 2.1% 3.2% +5.3%
Money Supply M4   0.2%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -17.7 -17.7
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -8.0 -7.2
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 2.2 3.0
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 93.5 94.3
Business Climate Business Climate Chart -0.26

Tuesday 30 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 2.5% 2.5%
Industrial Production Prelim   0.5% 1.1%
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 50.0 50.1
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -0.3%
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.6% 0.6%
GDP Final Year on Year   1.1% 1.1%
Current Account Current Account Chart -18.392Bln GB
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.3% -0.1%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -2.1%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart -12k 10k
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.3% 6.3%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.3%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 6.8%
CPI Final Month on Month   -0.2% 0.00%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart -0.1% 0.4%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 93.1 94.7

Wednesday 01 July

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index Chart 36 35
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index Tankan Big Manufacturers Index Chart 17 16
PMI Manufacturing   54.9
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 33.6
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 1.7%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart -0.6%
PMI Manufacturing   52.9 52.6
PMI Manufacturing   50.7 50.7
PMI Manufacturing   50.0 50.0
PMI Manufacturing   51.3 51.3
PMI Manufacturing   53.1
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 122k 113k
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 54.0 54.0
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   -6.088Mln

Thursday 02 July

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate   5.1%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 6.3% 6.3%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 4.3% 4.3%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 172k 110k
PMI Manufacturing   52.9
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart 4.8% -2.1%

Friday 03 July

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Month on Month   0.1% -0.3%
PMI Services   49.4 50.4
PMI Services   47.4 47.4
PMI Services   46.8 46.8
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Chart 1.60%
PMI Composite   49.5 49.5
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.00%
PMI Services   48.9 48.9
PMI Services   48.7

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