Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 29/03/21


Monday 29 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Business Climate Business Climate Chart -0.14

Tuesday 30 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 2.9% 3.0% 2.9%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -2.4% -2.8% -1.5%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 91 91 94
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 1.4% 0.5%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -0.3% 0.7%
Business Climate Business Climate Chart -0.14 0.30
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart -17.1 -14.4 -9.3
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -10.8 -10.8 -10.8
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -3.3 0.0 2.0
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 93.4 96.0 101.0
CPI Final Month on Month   0.7% 0.5% 0.5%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 91.3 96.9 109.7

Wednesday 31 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Prelim   4.3% -1.2% -2.1%
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 50.6 51.2 51.9
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 6.9% 6.4% 5.7%
Current Account Current Account Chart -15.700Bln GB -34.000Bln GB -26.300Bln GB
GDP Final Year on Year   -7.8% -7.8% -7.3%
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 1.0% 1.0% 1.3%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.7% 0.4% -0.2%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 1.2% 0.8%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart 9k -3k -8k
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.0% 6.0% 6.0%
ZEW Investor Sentiment   55.5 66.7
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart -41k -13k -8k
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 117k 550k 517k
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.5% 0.7%
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart 4.0% 7.1%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart 2.0% 2.6%
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart -2.8% -2.9% -10.6%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   1.912Mln 0.107Mln -0.876Mln

Thursday 01 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index Chart -5 -5 -1
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index Tankan Big Manufacturers Index Chart -10 0 5
Imports Imports Chart -2% 5%
Exports Exports Chart 6% -1%
PMI Manufacturing   52.0 52.7
Trade Balance Goods & Services Trade Balance Goods & Services Chart 10142Mln AU 9700Mln AU 7529Mln AU
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart -1.1% -1.1% -0.8%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -8.7% -9.0%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -4.5% 2.0% 1.2%
PMI Manufacturing   56.9 59.8 59.8
PMI Manufacturing   58.8 58.8 59.3
PMI Manufacturing   66.6 66.6 66.6
PMI Manufacturing   62.4 62.4 62.5
PMI Manufacturing   57.9 57.9 58.9
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 684k 680k 719k
PMI Manufacturing   54.8 58.5
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 60.8 61.3 64.7

Friday 02 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 6.2% 6.0% 6.0%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 379k 647k 916k
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%

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